Triestina - Alcione prediction 5 January 2026

Our Triestina vs Alcione prediction for the Serie C match on Jan 05, 2026, at 19:30 points to an away win. Based on the latest head-to-head record and league standings, Alcione enters this fixture as the favorite with a 52% win probability.

Team Form

Triestina's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses (W, D, W, L, L). Their most recent outing was a heavy 1-6 home defeat against Vicenza on Apr 25. Prior to that, they suffered a 0-3 loss away to Albinoleffe. However, they did secure a 2-0 home win over Giana Erminio and a 5-0 thrashing of Virtus Verona at home, showing they can be dangerous on their day.

Alcione's form is similarly mixed with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five (L, L, D, W, D). They played out a 0-0 draw away at Lumezzane on May 03. Before that, they beat Albinoleffe 2-1 at home but lost 0-2 at home to Lecco and 0-1 away to Trento Calcio 1921.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Alcione. In their four previous meetings, Alcione has won three times, while Triestina has won just once. There have been no draws. The most recent clash was this exact fixture on Jan 05, 2026, where Alcione won 2-1 away. Alcione also won the two prior encounters 1-0, both at home. Triestina's sole victory was a 1-0 home win back in February 2025.

League Table Positions

In the overall Serie C standings, Alcione sits in 8th place with 52 points from 37 matches (14 wins, 10 draws, 13 losses). Triestina is not listed in the top 12 of the provided table, indicating a lower position. Alcione's away form is solid, ranking 8th in the home standings with 29 points from 18 games (8 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses). Their strong defensive record of just 10 goals conceded in 18 home games highlights their organizational strength.

Win Probability: Triestina or Alcione?

After analyzing the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Alcione has a 52% chance to win, Triestina has a 26% chance, and the draw is at 22%. This assessment is based on Alcione's dominant head-to-head record (3 wins in 4 matches), their superior league position, and their solid defensive stats. Triestina's home advantage is factored in, but their heavy recent defeats and poor H2H record significantly reduce their chances.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific bookmaker odds were provided in the data for this match. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Alcione as the favorite. Our Triestina vs Alcione prediction is an away win for Alcione, continuing their strong head-to-head dominance. The match is expected to be tight, given Alcione's low-scoring record, but their ability to grind out results against Triestina gives them the edge.