Montespaccato - Trastevere Calcio ASD prediction 25 January 2026

On January 25, 2026, at 13:30, Trastevere Calcio ASD hosts Montespaccato in Italy's Serie D. This Trastevere Calcio ASD vs Montespaccato prediction sees the home side as the strong favorite, with a calculated win probability of 62%. The match is set to be played on Jan 25, and all signs point toward a home victory.

Team Form

Trastevere Calcio ASD's recent form shows two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches (W, L, W, D, L). They secured a 2-0 victory against SSD Cynthialbalonga on May 10 and a 3-0 win over the same opponent on Apr 26, but suffered defeats to ASD Monastir 1983 Kosmoto and Anzio Calcio 1924. Their form is inconsistent but includes strong home performances.

Montespaccato's form is concerning, with four losses and one draw in their last five outings (L, L, L, D, L). They conceded 11 goals in these five matches, including a 4-2 home loss to Flaminia Civita Castellana and a 3-2 defeat at Valmontone. The team is struggling for points and defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is completely one-sided. Trastevere Calcio ASD has won all five previous encounters, with Montespaccato yet to register a win or a draw. Home wins for Trastevere include a 2-1 result in September 2025 and a 4-0 victory in October 2020. Even when playing away, Trastevere has been dominant, winning 2-1 most recently in January 2026. The H2H history gives a massive psychological edge to the home team.

League Table Positions

Looking at the Serie D standings, Montespaccato does not appear in the provided data. However, Trastevere Calcio ASD is not listed in the top 12 either, suggesting both teams are competing in the lower half of the table or in a different group. The standings show Vado leading with 78 points. Without direct table positions for these teams, the form and H2H records become the primary indicators, and they heavily favor Trastevere.

Win Probability: Trastevere Calcio ASD or Montespaccato?

Our calculated win probabilities are: Trastevere Calcio ASD 62%, draw 22%, Montespaccato 16%. This is based on the dominant head-to-head record (5 wins for Trastevere in 5 matches), the superior recent form, and the home advantage. Montespaccato's four losses in five games significantly reduce their chances. The absence of odds in the JSON means we rely purely on performance stats. Trastevere Calcio ASD is clearly the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific odds are provided in the data for this match. However, based on the available stats, the match prediction is a home win. The historical dominance and current form gap suggest Trastevere Calcio ASD will secure all three points. Montespaccato will need a dramatic improvement in form to overturn a 100% losing record against this opponent. Look for a 2-0 or 2-1 scoreline in favor of the home side.