Looking for a TPS Turun Palloseura Women vs PK Keski Uusimaa Women prediction? The match kicks off on July 19, 2026, at 11:00 in the Ykkonen Women, Finland. Based on our analysis, PK Keski Uusimaa Women are the slight favorites with a 40% win probability, while a draw is at 35% and TPS Turun Palloseura Women have a 25% chance.
TPS Turun Palloseura Women come into this fixture with mixed results. Their last five matches show two wins, two defeats, and one draw. Most recently, they drew 1-1 away at Lahti Women on July 12. Before that, they suffered a heavy 1-5 home loss to JyPK Women, but did secure a 3-2 away win against HJS Women. At home, TPS have been inconsistent: a 2-0 victory over EBK Women was followed by that 1-5 reverse. Overall, they have scored 8 goals and conceded 12 in this five-game stretch.
PK Keski Uusimaa Women also display a similar pattern: two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five outings. They drew 3-3 at home with HJK II Women on July 9, after an impressive 3-2 away win at KTP Women. Their away form is a concern, however, with back-to-back defeats on the road before that victory โ 0-1 at HJK II Women and 0-3 at ONS Oulu Women. They have netted 8 goals and conceded 10 in these five matches, showing vulnerability at the back.
The head-to-head record heavily favours PK Keski Uusimaa Women. In four previous meetings, they have won three and drawn one, with TPS Turun Palloseura Women yet to record a victory. The most recent clash was on May 9, 2026, when PK Keski Uusimaa Women won 3-1 at home. The only previous match in Turku ended 0-1 in August 2021. The overall goal difference stands at 7-3 in favour of the away side, underlining their historical dominance in this fixture.
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: TPS Turun Palloseura Women 25%, draw 35%, PK Keski Uusimaa Women 40%. These figures are derived from the bookmakers' odds (home 3.10, draw 2.38, away 2.70) after removing the margin, then adjusted for the strong head-to-head advantage of PK Keski Uusimaa Women and the recent form of both sides. The away team's historical edge and the high draw probability from the odds suggest a tight contest, but PK Keski Uusimaa Women are the more likely winners.
Bookmakers see this as a closely matched encounter. The best available odds at the time of writing are 3.10 for a TPS Turun Palloseura Women victory, 2.38 for the draw, and 2.70 for a PK Keski Uusimaa Women win. These odds imply a high chance of a stalemate, which aligns with the teams' recent form and the head-to-head trend of low-scoring affairs. Our final TPS Turun Palloseura Women vs PK Keski Uusimaa Women prediction: PK Keski Uusimaa Women to win, but with a draw as a very realistic outcome. Based on the stats, backing the away side offers value, but caution is advised given their inconsistent away performances.