Tottenham Hotspur - West Ham prediction 17 January 2026

Tottenham Hotspur vs West Ham prediction for the Premier League match on Jan 17, 2026. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Tottenham Hotspur is the favourite to win, carrying a win probability of 55%. Here is a full breakdown of the stats and our betting tips.

Team Form

Tottenham Hotspur’s last five results (most recent first): W, L, D, W, W. They beat Everton 1-0 at home, lost 2-1 away to Chelsea, drew 1-1 at home with Leeds United, won 2-1 at Aston Villa and won 1-0 at Wolverhampton Wanderers. That’s three wins, one draw and one defeat, showing solid form with just one loss.

West Ham’s last five results: W, L, L, L, W. They won 3-0 at home against Leeds United, lost 3-1 away at Newcastle United, lost 1-0 at home to Arsenal FC, lost 3-0 away at Brentford and won 2-1 at home against Everton. That’s two wins and three defeats, with a worrying run of three consecutive losses before the final win.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall, Tottenham Hotspur and West Ham have met many times: Tottenham have 13 wins, West Ham have 13 wins, and there have been 7 draws. Looking at the last four meetings before this fixture, Tottenham are unbeaten with two wins and two draws:

• Sep 13, 2025: West Ham 0-3 Tottenham Hotspur (Premier League)
• May 04, 2025: West Ham 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur (Premier League)
• Oct 19, 2024: Tottenham Hotspur 4-1 West Ham (Premier League)
• Apr 02, 2024: West Ham 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur (Premier League)

Tottenham have the edge in recent encounters, particularly with a 3-0 away win and a 4-1 home victory in the last two seasons.

Win Probability: Tottenham or West Ham?

Based on form, head-to-head record and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Tottenham Hotspur win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• West Ham win: 20%

These percentages are estimated without bookmaker odds and rely on the factors above. Tottenham’s stronger recent form (three wins in five vs two wins in five for West Ham), their unbeaten H2H run over four games, and home pitch advantage justify favouring them. West Ham’s recent away defeats and overall inconsistency make them the underdog, but a draw remains a live possibility given the history of close results between the sides.

Odds & Match Prediction

No explicit bookmaker odds are available in the data, so our prediction is driven solely by the statistical analysis. Based on the stats, Tottenham Hotspur are the most likely winners. The final prediction leans towards a Tottenham win, though a draw cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, the form suggests goals could be scored by both sides, but Tottenham’s solid recent defensive record at home (only one goal conceded in the last two home matches) may keep a clean sheet.