Torpedo Kutaisi - Spaeri prediction 22 June 2026

The Torpedo Kutaisi vs Spaeri prediction for June 22, 2026, gives the hosts a 45% win probability in this Erovnuli (Georgia) fixture. Kick-off is at 17:00 at Torpedo Kutaisi’s home ground, and based on recent form, historical head-to-head records, and league positions, the home side enters as a narrow favourite. However, a draw at 30% and a 25% chance for Spaeri reflect how evenly matched these sides are.

Team Form

Torpedo Kutaisi have struggled in their recent outings, recording one win and three losses in their last four matches. The lone victory came away at Dinamo Tbilisi (1-0), while home defeats against Dinamo Batumi (2-3) and Gagra (1-2) exposed defensive frailties. Overall, their home record this season reads four wins, three draws, and three losses, with a positive goal difference (17 scored, 10 conceded).

Spaeri arrive with a similarly patchy run: one win, one draw, and two losses from their last four. They beat Mesakhte Tkibuli 2-1 at home but fell to Metalurgi Rustavi (1-2) and FC Dila Gori (1-3) on the road. A 1-1 away draw at league leaders FC Iberia 1999 hints at their resilience, yet their away form (2 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses) remains inconsistent.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head record shows Torpedo Kutaisi with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss against Spaeri in their last four meetings (excluding this fixture). The most recent league match, on May 1, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw at Spaeri. Torpedo’s victories both came in the Cup (2022 and 2023), while Spaeri’s sole league win was a 2-1 away success on February 28, 2026. This history underscores the tight contests between the two sides.

League Table Positions

Torpedo Kutaisi sit 4th in the Erovnuli standings with 27 points from 19 matches (7 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses). Spaeri are 8th with 22 points from 19 outings (5 wins, 7 draws, 7 losses). The five-point gap, combined with home advantage, favours the hosts. In the home table, Torpedo rank 6th (4-3-3), while Spaeri are 8th in the away standings (2-4-4).

Win Probability: Torpedo Kutaisi or Spaeri?

Based on all available data, Torpedo Kutaisi has a 45% chance of winning, the draw sits at 30%, and Spaeri has a 25% chance. This probability assessment stems from Torpedo’s superior league position, home record, and the historical edge (two cup victories in the H2H). However, the hosts’ poor recent form and Spaeri’s ability to grind out draws away reduce the confidence in a home win, keeping the draw and away win probabilities significant.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are currently available in the provided data. Should odds appear, they would likely reflect Torpedo Kutaisi as favourites given the home field and table standing. Our match prediction, grounded in the stats, leans towards a closely fought contest with Torpedo Kutaisi more likely to secure a narrow result. Value seekers may consider the draw or a low-scoring affair.