Toronto II - FC Cincinnati II prediction 17 July 2026

Our Toronto II vs FC Cincinnati II prediction for July 17, 2026, in MLS Next Pro points to an away win, with FC Cincinnati II holding a 45% win probability. Toronto II enter the match on a five-game losing streak, while the visitors have shown slightly better form. The head-to-head record is close, but the most recent meeting ended in a 5-0 rout for Cincinnati.

Team Form

Toronto II are in disastrous form, losing all of their last five matches. They fell 3-2 to Connecticut United, 1-0 to Atlanta United II, 3-1 at home to New England Revolution II, 5-0 to New York Red Bulls II, and 4-2 at home to Connecticut United again. Over this stretch they conceded 16 goals and scored only 5, exposing serious defensive problems.

FC Cincinnati II have also struggled, recording one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five. They lost 2-1 at home to Orlando City II, drew 2-2 with New York Red Bulls II, beat Inter Miami II 1-0, were crushed 4-0 away at Connecticut United, and lost 1-0 to Columbus Crew II. Their form is marginally better, but away performances remain a concern.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last eight meetings, Toronto II have 4 wins, FC Cincinnati II have 3, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent clash on May 3, 2026, saw FC Cincinnati II dominate 5-0 at home. That result gives the visitors a psychological edge, despite the overall H2H being nearly even.

• May 3, 2026: FC Cincinnati II 5-0 Toronto II
• Aug 15, 2025: Toronto II 1-0 FC Cincinnati II
• Jun 8, 2025: FC Cincinnati II 1-1 Toronto II
• Mar 9, 2025: FC Cincinnati II 0-1 Toronto II
• May 7, 2023: Toronto II 3-0 FC Cincinnati II

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the MLS Next Pro standings, placing them in the lower half of the table. Austin II lead the league with 39 points, while Toronto II and FC Cincinnati II are outside the playoff picture. Their current form suggests they will struggle to move up the rankings.

Win Probability: Toronto II or FC Cincinnati II?

Based on recent form, head-to-head data, and home advantage, we calculate the win probabilities as: Toronto II 30%, draw 25%, FC Cincinnati II 45%. Toronto II's five straight defeats and leaky defense heavily reduce their chances, even at home. FC Cincinnati II's slightly better results and the 5-0 win in the last meeting make them the more likely winners, though a draw remains a realistic outcome given both teams' inconsistency.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have not yet released odds for this fixture. When available, FC Cincinnati II are expected to be priced as favorites. Our prediction: FC Cincinnati II to win, but with low confidence. A draw is a strong possibility, and Toronto II will hope home advantage can spark a turnaround. For betting tips, keep an eye on the goal markets — both defenses have been poor, but the attacking output has been limited.