Tombense MG - Maringa PR prediction 28 July 2025
Tombense MG
Maringa PRTombense MG
CRAC GOCRAC GOTombense MGTombense MGVitoria ESPorto SC BATombense MGTombense MGReal Noroeste ESTombense MGDemocrata MGRio Branco AC ES VictoriaTombense MGTombense MGRio Branco AC ES VictoriaDemocrata MGTombense MGReal Noroeste ESTombense MGTombense MGPorto SC BAVitoria ESTombense MGConfianca SETombense MGUniao Recreativa MGTombense MGTombense MGOratorio APAnapolis GOMaringa PRMaringa PRVolta Redonda RJInter de Limeira SPMaringa PRSer Caxias RSMaringa PRMaringa PRMaranhao MABotafogo PBMaringa PRMaringa PRSanta Cruz PEYpiranga RSMaringa PRMaringa PRGuarani SPMaringa PRItabaiana SEItuano SPMaringa PRMaringa PRBrusque SCFigueirense SCMaringa PRMaringa PRFerroviaria SPMaringa PRFerroviaria SPTombense MGMaringa PR| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter de Limeira SP | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | 25 |
| 2 |  Brusque SC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 |
| 3 |  Santa Cruz | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 15:10 | +5 | 24 |
| 4 |  Paysandu PA | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22:19 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |  Guarani SP | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25:14 | +11 | 23 |
| 6 |  Botafogo PB | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:15 | +4 | 22 |
| 7 | Maringa PR | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 27:24 | +3 | 22 |
| 8 |  Ferroviaria SP | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 15:12 | +3 | 22 |
| 9 |  Ser Caxias RS | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 |
| 10 |  Floresta CE | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 20 |
| 11 |  Ituano SP | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 |  Ypiranga RS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Volta Redonda RJ | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 17 |
| 14 |  Amazonas AM | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:19 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 |  Maranhao MA | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Figueirense SC | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
| 17 |  Barra SC | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | +1 | 15 |
| 18 |  Itabaiana SE | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 13 |
| 19 |  Confianca SE | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8:14 | -6 | 11 |
| 20 |  Anapolis GO | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:18 | -9 | 9 |
Tombense MG vs Maringa PR Prediction (Jul 28)
The Tombense MG vs Maringa PR prediction for July 28, 2025, in Brazil's Serie C points to a tight contest. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Tombense MG enters as the slight favorite with a 38% win probability. The match kicks off at 22:30.
Team Form
Tombense MG's last five results show inconsistency: D, L, D, W, D. Their most recent match was a 0-0 draw against CRAC GO in Serie D on June 27, 2026. Before that, they lost 1-0 to CRAC GO, drew 0-0 with Vitoria ES, beat Porto SC BA 3-1, and drew 1-1 with Real Noroeste ES.
Maringa PR's recent form reads W, D, D, D, L. They are coming off a 4-0 win over Volta Redonda RJ on July 4, 2026. Prior results include a 2-2 draw at Inter de Limeira SP, a 1-1 draw at Ser Caxias RS, a 0-0 home draw with Maranhao MA, and a 2-1 loss at Botafogo PB.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met only once before. That match, played on July 28, 2025, in Serie C, ended in a 1-1 draw. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Tombense MG, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Maringa PR.
League Table Positions
In the overall Serie C standings, Maringa PR sits 9th with 19 points from 13 matches (5 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses). Tombense MG is not listed in the provided overall table. Maringa PR's away form places them 7th in the away standings with 8 points from 6 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Tombense MG's home record is not available in the data.
Win Probability: Tombense MG or Maringa PR?
After analyzing the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Tombense MG has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Maringa PR has a 27% chance. The total equals 100%.
This calculation is based primarily on recent form and the head-to-head record, as no odds were provided. Tombense MG's slight edge comes from their home advantage and Maringa PR's mixed away form. However, Tombense MG's five-match form (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss) suggests they struggle to close out games, which elevates the draw probability. Maringa PR's away form (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) and their 9th-place standing indicate they are competitive but not dominant. The only previous meeting ended in a draw, further supporting a balanced matchup. Overall, Tombense MG is the more likely winner, but the draw is a very realistic outcome.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds are available in the data for this match. Based on the stats, the prediction is a closely fought draw or a narrow win for Tombense MG. Bookmakers would likely see Tombense MG as a marginal favorite given the home pitch. Our final Tombense MG vs Maringa PR prediction: a low-scoring draw is the most probable result, but a 1-0 home win cannot be ruled out.
Tombense MG vs Maringa PR — FAQ
- Who will win Tombense MG vs Maringa PR?
- Based on our analysis, Tombense MG has a 38% chance to win, a draw has a 35% probability, and Maringa PR has a 27% chance. Tombense MG is the slight favorite, but the match is expected to be very close.
- What is the win probability for Tombense MG?
- Tombense MG has a 38% win probability. This is based on their home advantage and Maringa PR's mixed away form, though their own recent form (one win in five) keeps the percentage moderate.
- When is the Tombense MG vs Maringa PR match?
- The match is on July 28, 2025, at 22:30. It is a Serie C fixture in Brazil.
- What are the odds for the match?
- No odds are currently available in the provided data for this match. The prediction is based solely on team form, head-to-head record, and league standings.
- What is the head-to-head record between Tombense MG and Maringa PR?
- The teams have played once before, on July 28, 2025, in Serie C. That match ended in a 1-1 draw, with no wins for either side.