| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 44:13 | +31 | 42 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 39:8 | +31 | 40 | |
| 3 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 41:13 | +28 | 37 | |
| 4 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 46:15 | +31 | 36 | |
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 27:13 | +14 | 34 | |
| 6 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38:26 | +12 | 33 | |
| 7 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 38:19 | +19 | 31 | |
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 27:18 | +9 | 29 | |
| 9 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 31:23 | +8 | 28 | |
| 10 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:29 | -6 | 22 | |
| 11 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 21 | |
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 18 | |
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 16 | |
| 14 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 12 | |
| 15 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11:46 | -35 | 11 | |
| 16 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14:29 | -15 | 9 | |
| 17 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11:46 | -35 | 5 | |
| 18 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11:62 | -51 | 4 |
The Toluca Women vs Club Leon Women prediction for this Liga MX Women match on Mar 31 sees Toluca Women as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability. The draw is rated at 25% and a Club Leon Women away victory at 20%.
Toluca Women's last five matches ended L, L, L, W, W. Two narrow away wins against Tigres UANL Women (2-1 on both May 1 and May 4) stand out, but three heavy defeats to Club America Women — two by 1-7 and a 3-4 — show inconsistency against top sides. At home they have lost their last two, but overall they managed 10 wins and 33 points in the regular season, scoring 38 goals.
Club Leon Women's recent form reads L, L, D, L, W. The draw came at home against this same Toluca Women side (3-3 on Mar 31). Since then they lost 4-5 away at Pachuca Women and 1-2 at home to Atletico San Luis Women. Only a 4-0 home win over Atlas Women breaks the negative run. They concede regularly and lack consistency on the road.
In three previous Liga MX Women meetings, Toluca Women have one home win (1-0 on Aug 10, 2025), two draws (3-3 on Mar 31, 2026 at Club Leon Women, and 1-1 on Jan 6, 2025 at Club Leon Women), and zero wins for Club Leon Women. The H2H advantage clearly sits with Toluca Women, especially when hosting.
Toluca Women finish the regular season 6th overall with 33 points (10W 3D 4L), while Club Leon Women sit outside the top 12. At home, Toluca Women rank 5th with 19 points from 9 matches (6W 1D 2L). Club Leon Women do not appear in the top 8 away standings, underlining their travel struggles.
Based on the available stats — heavier weighting on league position, home strength and H2H — Toluca Women have a 55% chance of winning. The draw probability is 25%, reflecting two stalemates in three head-to-heads and Club Leon Women's ability to snatch a point despite generally poor form. Club Leon Women's win chance is 20%, mostly reliant on the recent 3-3 draw and any potential fatigue in the Toluca Women squad. Overall, the odds strongly favor a Toluca Women victory.
Odds data is not specified in the current feed, but based on form and standings, bookmakers would have priced Toluca Women as the clear favorite. The stats point to a home win, and our prediction aligns with that. Backing Toluca Women to win offers the most logical betting tip, with the under-2.5 goals market also worth considering given the 1-0 and 1-1 scorelines in recent H2Hs.