Breitenrain - Thun prediction 17 August 2025
Breitenrain
ThunBreitenrain
FC Besa Biel/BiennLausanneBreitenrainBreitenrainStade PayerneBreitenrainYoung Boys IIFC ParadisoBreitenrainBreitenrainBasel IIBulle FCBreitenrainBreitenrainZurich IIFC Luzern IIBreitenrainBreitenrainSC Bruhl St GallenFC Vevey SportsBreitenrainBreitenrainKriensSC ChamBreitenrainBreitenrainKreuzlingenLausanne IIBreitenrainSV Waldhof MannheimThunSV ElversbergThunSt. GallenThunThunYoung BoysSionThunBaselThunThunLuganoThunBaselThunBaselLuganoThunZurichThunThunGrasshoppersYoung BoysThunThunSt. GallenThunLuzernBreitenrainThunThunBreitenrainThun vs Breitenrain Prediction (Aug 17, 2025)
Our Thun vs Breitenrain prediction for August 17, 2025 answers the question of who will win this Swiss Cup tie. Thun, playing at home, is the clear favorite with a 62% win probability. Breitenrain holds only a 15% chance of causing an upset, while the draw is rated at 23%. The match kicks off at 13:30 and features a Super League side against a Promotion League opponent.
Team Form
Thun comes into this match in poor form. Their last five results read L, D, D, L, L. The heavy 3-8 home defeat against Young Boys and a 0-2 loss at Sion highlight defensive concerns. However, all those matches were against top-division opposition, which is a much higher standard than Breitenrain faces.
Breitenrainโs recent form is much better โ L, W, W, L, W. That includes a 6-0 friendly win over Stade Payerne and a 3-0 victory against Young Boys II in the Promotion League. But those opponents are mostly from lower tiers, so the hot streak must be viewed with caution.
Head-to-Head Record
These two sides have met only once before, in a friendly in 2018. Thun cruised to a 3-0 win that day. There is no competitive history between them, so this Cup clash will be their first official meeting. With such a small sample, head-to-head data does not carry much weight in our prediction.
Win Probability: Thun or Breitenrain?
We calculate the outcome chances as:
Thun win: 62%
Draw: 23%
Breitenrain win: 15%
This estimate is based on the clear gulf in division strength โ Thun plays in the Swiss Super League while Breitenrain competes two tiers below. Home advantage further boosts Thunโs probability, even though their recent results have been disappointing. Breitenrainโs good form is mostly against weak opponents, which is why their win probability remains low. The draw gets a moderate chance, typical for Cup ties where the underdog sits deep.
Odds & Match Prediction
No pre-match odds were available at the time of writing. Once bookmakers release prices, Thun will undoubtedly be a strong favorite โ likely in the 1.30-1.50 range for the home win. Based on the stats, the smart money is on a Thun victory. However, given Thunโs leaky defense and Breitenrainโs scoring runs in friendlies, a Thun win and both teams to score could also be an interesting betting tip.
Final prediction: Thun to win.
Thun vs Breitenrain โ FAQ
- Who will win Thun vs Breitenrain?
- According to our analysis, Thun has a 62% chance of winning the match, Breitenrain has a 15% chance, and a draw stands at 23%. The home sideโs higher division status and home advantage make them the clear favorite.
- What is the win probability for Thun?
- Thunโs win probability is 62%. This takes into account the Super League vs Promotion League gap and playing at home, despite their recent run of L, D, D, L, L.
- When is the Thun vs Breitenrain match?
- The match takes place on August 17, 2025, at 13:30 (UTC). It is a Swiss Cup fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- No odds were available when this prediction was written. Based on the probability gap, bookmakers will likely price Thun as a short favorite, with Breitenrain a big underdog.
- What is the head-to-head record between Thun and Breitenrain?
- They have met once โ a friendly in 2018 that Thun won 3-0. This is their first official competitive meeting.