Grindavik Women - Throttur Reykjavik Women prediction 20 July 2026

Our Throttur Reykjavik Women vs Grindavik Women prediction for this Premier League Women clash on July 20, 2026, at 19:15 UTC sees Grindavik Women as the slight favorite with a 38% win probability. Throttur Reykjavik Women have a 29% chance, while the draw is rated at 33%. Bookmakers make it almost a coin‑flip, but the head‑to‑head record and recent form tilt the scales toward the visitors.

Team Form

Grindavik Women come into the match with an improving run of results: one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings. They lost 1–6 at home to FH Hafnarfjodur and 1–0 away to Thor Akureyri, then drew 1–1 with Vikingur (league) and 1–1 with Stjarnan (Cup) before a 2–0 away win at Fram. The back‑to‑back draws and the clean‑sheet victory suggest defensive solidity is returning.

Throttur Reykjavik Women, by contrast, have lost three of their last five, with one win and one draw. They suffered a 0–1 home loss to Fram, a heavy 3–7 defeat at FH Hafnarfjodur, and a 0–2 loss at Thor Akureyri. A 1–0 home cup win over Vikingur and a 0–0 home draw with IBV Vestmannaeyja are the only positives, but the recent three straight defeats point to a team in poor form.

Head‑to‑Head Record

The last five meetings between these sides have been dominated by Grindavik Women. Across all competitions, Grindavik have won four times, Throttur Reykjavik have won once, and no match ended in a draw. In the most recent encounter on May 11, 2026, Grindavik won 2–1 away at Throttur in the Premier League. The only Throttur victory in this span came in the League Cup on March 7, 2026, a 5–3 home win. The head‑to‑head numbers clearly point to Grindavik having the upper hand.

League Table Positions

Throttur Reykjavik Women sit 3rd in the Premier League Women with 33 points from 17 matches (10 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses; goals 30–20). They are firmly in the upper tier of the division. Grindavik Women are not in the top 10, which suggests they are placed in the lower half of the table. The league context therefore gives a notable advantage to Throttur, but the gap in the standings has not been reflected in recent head‑to‑head meetings.

Win Probability: Throttur Reykjavik Women or Grindavik Women?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Grindavik Women win – 38%, Draw – 33%, Throttur Reykjavik Women win – 29%.

The base is the average bookmaker odds: Grindavik (home) 2.61, draw 2.65, Throttur (away) 2.55. After removing the margin, the implied probabilities are 33.2% home, 32.8% draw, 34.0% away. We then adjust for the head‑to‑head record (Grindavik have won 4 of 5), recent form (Grindavik are on an upward trend while Throttur are losing), and the league table (Throttur are much higher). The combined effect moves Grindavik to the favorite position, with the draw still a strong possibility because both teams have been inconsistent.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds from the JSON data show a tight market: Grindavik home win between 2.55 and 2.72, draw between 2.35 and 3.70, and Throttur away win between 2.32 and 2.75. The average odds of 2.61 – 2.65 – 2.55 underline that bookmakers see this as a very close contest, with Throttur marginally favoured on the 1X2 market. However, our analysis suggests the value lies with Grindavik. Based on the stats, Grindavik Women are the more likely winners, but the safety of a draw prediction also holds substantial appeal.