The Gap Women - North Lakes United Women prediction 18 July 2026

The Gap Women vs North Lakes United Women prediction for the Queensland Premier League Women match on Jul 18, 2026, at 07:00 UTC. North Lakes United Women are the favorites with a 50% win probability, while The Gap Women have a 22% chance and the draw is 28%.

Team Form

The Gap Women come into this match with a recent form of W, W, W, L, L. They won three consecutive matches: a 3-2 away victory over Logan Lightning Women on Jul 10, a 5-3 home win against Palm Beach Sharks Women on Jul 04, and a 4-3 home success against Mitchelton Women on Jun 19. However, they then lost 1-2 away at Caboolture FC Women on Jun 13 and 0-1 at home to Virginia United Women on Jun 07. Over these five games, they scored 13 goals and conceded 11.

North Lakes United Women's last five results are L, D, W, W, W. They suffered a 2-3 away defeat to Grange Thistle Women on Jul 14 and a 0-0 home draw with Caboolture FC Women on Jul 11. Prior to that, they recorded three strong wins: 6-0 away at Moreton City Excelsior Women on Jul 03, 3-0 home versus Virginia United Women on Jun 20, and 5-2 away at Sunshine Coast Women on Jun 16. In this period, they netted 16 goals and conceded only 5.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met once before, on Apr 25, 2026, in the Queensland Premier League Women. North Lakes United Women won that encounter 5-2 at home against The Gap Women. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for The Gap Women, 0 draws, and 1 win for North Lakes United Women.

Win Probability: The Gap Women or North Lakes United Women?

Based on the average odds from two bookmakers (home: 4.93, draw: 3.13, away: 1.71), the implied probabilities after removing the margin are 18.3% for a home win, 28.8% for a draw, and 52.9% for an away win. Adjusting for The Gap Women's recent three-match winning streak and home advantage, the probabilities shift slightly: The Gap Women have a 22% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and North Lakes United Women have a 50% chance. The total equals 100%. North Lakes United Women are the more likely winners, but The Gap Women's improved form gives them a better chance than the raw odds suggest.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average odds across two bookmakers for the 1X2 market are: The Gap Women win at 4.93, a draw at 3.13, and North Lakes United Women win at 1.71. Bookmakers clearly see North Lakes United Women as the favorite. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is an away win for North Lakes United Women, but the high draw odds and The Gap Women's recent performances warrant caution.