TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc - Than Quang Ninh prediction 19 April 2026

The Than Quang Ninh vs TT Dong Nai prediction for April 19, 2026, in Vietnam's V-League 2 sees league leaders TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc as clear favorites with a 50% win probability. Hosts Than Quang Ninh have a 25% chance of victory, while a draw is also at 25%. Read on for in-depth form analysis, head-to-head record, league table insights, and the final match prediction.

Team Form

Than Quang Ninh

Than Quang Ninh's last five matches produced two wins, two draws, and one loss. They scored 9 goals and conceded 6 across these games, showing attacking intent but occasional defensive lapses. The specific results were:

• Jun 06: Than Quang Ninh 4–2 Thanh Pho Ho Chi Minh II (W)
• May 30: Sanna Khanh Hoa 1–1 Than Quang Ninh (D)
• May 23: Than Quang Ninh 3–1 PVF Cong An Nhan Dan 2 (W)
• May 17: Binh Dinh 1–1 Than Quang Ninh (D)
• May 09: Than Quang Ninh 0–1 TDCS Dong Thap (L)

The 1-0 home defeat to Dong Thap stands out as a missed opportunity, but overall Than Quang Ninh has been competitive, especially at home where they are unbeaten in four of their last five across all venues.

TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc

The league leaders enter with three wins and two losses in their last five, showing a slight dip after a long unbeaten run. They scored 8 goals and conceded 3. Their recent results:

• Jun 06: Xuan Thien Phu Tho FC Gia Dinh 1–0 TT Dong Nai (L)
• May 30: TT Dong Nai 3–0 Dong Tam Long An (W)
• May 22: Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC 0–1 TT Dong Nai (W)
• May 16: TT Dong Nai 3–0 Dai Hoc Van Hien (W)
• May 08: TDTT Bac Ninh 2–1 TT Dong Nai (L)

Despite the two away losses, TT Dong Nai remains the most consistent side in the division, with three clean sheets in this sequence.

Head-to-Head Record

Before this fixture, the two teams had met twice. Than Quang Ninh has the edge, unbeaten in both previous encounters:

• Mar 06, 2026 (V-League 2): Than Quang Ninh 1–1 TT Dong Nai
• Jun 04, 2017 (Cup): Than Quang Ninh 2–0 TT Dong Nai

Thus, the head-to-head record stands at one win for Than Quang Ninh and one draw, with TT Dong Nai yet to claim victory in this matchup.

League Table Positions

The V-League 2 standings after 21 rounds show a massive gulf:

• TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc – 1st with 50 points (15W, 5D, 1L), goal difference +34. Away record: 6W, 3D, 1L.
• Than Quang Ninh – 9th with 23 points (5W, 8D, 8L), goal difference -5. Home record: 3W, 5D, 2L.

The visitors are already crowned champions-elect, while Than Quang Ninh is mid-table with only three wins at home all season. TT Dong Nai’s away form is the second-best in the league; they have lost just once on the road.

Win Probability: Than Quang Ninh or TT Dong Nai?

Based on the available data – league positions, home/away splits, recent form, and head-to-head history – we calculate the match outcome probabilities as:

• Than Quang Ninh win: 25%
• Draw: 25%
• TT Dong Nai win: 50%

The reasoning: TT Dong Nai’s dominant league campaign (50 points vs 23) and strong away record (only one loss) make them the clear favorites. Than Quang Ninh’s home form has been resilient with five draws in 10 matches, but they have struggled to convert draws into wins. The head-to-head is too small a sample to outweigh the league table, though it suggests the hosts can frustrate the leaders. A draw is a realistic possibility, but TT Dong Nai’s quality is expected to prevail.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds were not available at the time of writing, so this prediction is based solely on statistical indicators. Taking all factors into account, the most likely match outcome is a TT Dong Nai win, but the probability of a draw is elevated because of Than Quang Ninh’s home stubbornness. A cautious betting tip would be to back TT Dong Nai on the double chance (win or draw), while expecting a low-scoring affair given the hosts’ 8 goals conceded in 10 home games and the visitors’ defensive solidity. Ultimately, TT Dong Nai’s 50% win probability makes them the justified favorite in this prediction.