Teuta Durres - Kukesi prediction 15 August 2025

Our Teuta Durres vs Kukesi prediction answers who will win this Friendly Clubs match on August 15, 2025, at 17:30. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, Teuta Durres is the favorite with a 40% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 30% and a Kukesi away win at 30%.

Team Form

Teuta Durres come into the game with a mixed run of results at home: two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five home matches (W, W, D, L, L). Their most recent home outings saw a 1-0 victory over Pogradeci and a 3-2 win against Egnatia Rrogozhine, followed by a 0-1 defeat to KF Tirana. Those results highlight inconsistency on their own turf.

Kukesi have shown steady away form over their last five road games, with a sequence of win, draw, win, loss, draw (W, D, W, L, D). Only one defeat in that run suggests they are hard to beat on the road. Their recent overall performances include a 2-0 win against Butrinti Sarande and a 1-1 draw with Bylis Ballsh B.

Head-to-Head Record

The long-term head-to-head between Teuta Durres and Kukesi is nearly even. In 44 previous meetings, Teuta Durres have won 15, Kukesi have won 13, and 16 matches ended in a draw. Looking at the last four meaningful clashes (excluding the current fixture), Teuta won once (1-0 at home in February 2024), there were two goalless draws, and Kukesi won 2-1 away in March 2023. This closely matched history reinforces the balanced nature of the fixture.

Win Probability: Teuta Durres or Kukesi?

We have calculated the outcome probabilities using available form, H2H data, and home advantage (no bookmaker odds were available for this match). Teuta Durres has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is assessed at 30%, and Kukesi has a 30% chance of taking all three points. Although Teuta Durres enjoy home advantage, their inconsistent home form and Kukesi’s solid away results reduce the gap. The most likely outcome is a narrow win for the home side, but a draw or an away win should not be ruled out.

Odds & Match Prediction

No pre-match odds were provided for this friendly encounter. Without market prices to guide us, we rely solely on statistical indicators. Based on the data, Teuta Durres are marginal favorites. The prediction for Teuta Durres vs Kukesi is a home win, but with low confidence given the even H2H record and both teams' current form. A draw is a real possibility, and bettors should consider the 30% chance of a stalemate as a significant outcome. A cautious betting tip would be a draw no bet on Teuta Durres or a low-stake punt on under 2.5 goals, given many tight past meetings.