| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 58:35 | +23 | 70 | |
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:28 | +27 | 68 | |
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 | |
| 4 | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 46:33 | +13 | 53 | |
| 5 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 36:29 | +7 | 52 | |
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:29 | +16 | 51 | |
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57:42 | +15 | 51 | |
| 8 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37:32 | +5 | 51 | |
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:42 | +6 | 48 | |
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | +6 | 48 | |
| 11 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 46 | |
| 12 | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 45 | |
| 13 | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47:48 | -1 | 40 | |
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 38 | |
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 36 | |
| 16 | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 24:43 | -19 | 26 | |
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 | |
| 18 | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25:69 | -44 | 19 |
The Tenisca vs Arucas CF prediction for the Tercera Federacion match on Oct 19 sees Arucas CF as the narrow favourite with a 35% win probability, while the draw is also at 35% and Tenisca have a 30% chance. Both teams arrive with inconsistent form, making this a tight contest.
Tenisca's recent form is poor: in their last five matches they have recorded just one win, one draw, and three losses (L, L, D, W, L). Their attack has struggled to produce consistent goals, and defensive lapses have cost them points. The solitary win came against Mensajero, but heavy defeats have dented confidence.
Arucas CF's form is slightly better, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five outings (W, L, D, L, D). They have drawn twice in that run, including goalless stalemates, showing some resilience. However, a 3–0 defeat to Union Sur Yaiza highlights their away frailties.
Historically, Arucas CF have dominated this fixture. In the two previous meetings (both in 2022), Arucas CF won 1–0 on each occasion. Notably, those matches were played at Arucas, so Tenisca will hope home advantage can turn the tide. The head-to-head record reads: Tenisca 0 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses.
Based on recent form, head-to-head history, and the home/away factor, the calculated outcome probabilities are:
Arucas CF are given the slight edge because of their head-to-head dominance and a marginally better recent form string. However, Tenisca’s home advantage prevents the away side from being clearer favourites. The draw is also a realistic outcome, given both teams’ tendency to share points in recent matches.
Bookmakers’ odds for this match are currently unavailable. Without market prices to guide us, the statistical analysis suggests a very even contest. Arucas CF have the psychological advantage from previous meetings, but Tenisca could capitalise on any away inconsistency. The safest betting tip would be to back the draw, which mirrors the form numbers, or consider a low-scoring affair given both sides’ modest goal output.