Telstar vs Lisse prediction for the KNVB Beker match on October 29, 2025. Telstar enters as the clear favorite with a 65% win probability, while Lisse has a 15% chance of an upset. Here is our full match preview including team form, head-to-head record, and betting tips.
Telstar's recent results read L, W, W, D, W. A 0-1 friendly loss at Sparta Rotterdam preceded an impressive run: a 2-1 win at Volendam, a 3-0 home victory over Heracles Almelo, a 1-1 draw at NEC Nijmegen, and a 4-1 home thrashing of Sparta Rotterdam. Over the last five matches Telstar has scored 10 goals and conceded 4, showing strong attacking form.
Lisse's form guide shows L, L, W, W, W. They lost 0-1 at home to ADO '20 and 0-2 away in the same fixture before turning things around with three straight wins: 3-1 at Scheveningen, 2-0 at UNA, and a 3-0 home win over VVSB Noordwijkerhout. Lisse kept three clean sheets in those victories, but the opposition was from lower divisions.
The only previous head-to-head meeting was a friendly club match on July 18, 2023, where Telstar beat Lisse 6-1 away. Telstar's dominance in that encounter, combined with home advantage this time, underlines their strong position.
Based on team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, the calculated win probabilities are:
Telstar's superior head-to-head history, slightly better recent form (three wins and a draw vs three wins and two defeats), and the fact they are playing at home make them the most likely winner. Lisse's recent victories came against lower-tier opposition, which reduces their weight when stepping up to face an Eredivisie side.
Bookmaker odds are not available at the time of writing. Our prediction is based purely on statistical analysis of form, head-to-head data, and the home/away factor. Telstar is the clear favorite to win this KNVB Beker tie, and a home victory looks the most probable outcome.