Csm Sacele - Teleajenul Valenii de Munte prediction 22 November 2025

The Teleajenul Valenii de Munte vs Csm Sacele prediction is for the Liga III match on Nov 22, 2025, at 12:00 at Stadionul Precizia Săcele (capacity 2,000). Based on our analysis, Csm Sacele enters as a slight favorite with a 35% win probability, while Teleajenul Valenii de Munte has a 30% chance and the draw stands at 35%.

Team Form

Teleajenul Valenii de Munte comes into the match in dreadful shape, having lost four of their last five outings with just one draw. Their last five results: 1-2 loss to ACS Progresul Mogosoaia (home), 0-2 loss to Baicoi (home), 2-3 loss to Urban Titu (away), 2-2 draw with ACS Vointa 2024 Crevedia (home), and a 0-6 thrashing by Stefanestii de Jos (away). That run includes only one goal in two of those matches and defensive frailties that conceded 15 goals.

Csm Sacele's recent form is slightly better, recording one win, two draws and two losses: a 1-2 home defeat to FC Pucioasa, a 2-4 away loss to Baicoi, a 0-0 home draw with ACS Vointa 2024 Crevedia, a 0-0 away draw with Kids Tampa Brasov, and a 2-0 home victory over ACS Progresul Mogosoaia. While not spectacular, their two clean sheets in the last five offer some defensive stability compared to the hosts.

Head-to-Head Record

These two sides have only ever met once before, on Sep 13, 2025, in Liga III. That encounter ended in a 2-2 draw at Teleajenul Valenii de Munte's ground. With no wins for either team in the head-to-head, history offers no clear psychological edge, though the away side will take confidence from holding out for a point on their rival's patch earlier this season.

League Table Positions

Neither Teleajenul Valenii de Munte nor Csm Sacele appears in the top 12 of the provided home, away, or overall Liga III standings tables. This means reliable league position data is not available for this match, and form and head-to-head become the primary indicators.

Win Probability: Teleajenul Valenii de Munte or Csm Sacele?

Based on the available data—terrible home form (0 wins in last five, one draw, four defeats), marginally better away form (one win, two draws, two losses) and the head-to-head draw—we calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows:

• Teleajenul Valenii de Munte win: 30%
• Draw: 35%
• Csm Sacele win: 35%

The home side has shown almost no ability to win matches lately, conceding heavily and scoring inconsistently. Csm Sacele have at least kept a couple of clean sheets recently and picked up a win. The previous meeting ended level. All factors point toward a very balanced contest, with the draw and a narrow away win the most likely outcomes. Teleajenul Valenii de Munte will need a significant turnaround to claim their first head-to-head victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

No betting odds are available in the data for this Liga III fixture. Without bookmaker prices, we rely solely on team form and historical stats. The safest prediction based on the stats would be a draw—mirroring the only H2H result. However, Csm Sacele's slightly superior recent defensive record gives them a marginal edge. A low-scoring affair (under 2.5 goals) seems plausible given both sides' attacking inconsistencies. Ultimately, the match is too close to call with high confidence, but a score draw or a 1-0 away win are the most probable outcomes.