Tarbes - Onet-le-Chateau prediction 9 May 2026
Tarbes
Onet-le-Chateau
PauTarbesBlagnacTarbesTarbesOnet-le-ChateauPau IITarbesBassin d'ArcachonTarbesTarbesSA Gazinet CestasToulouse IITarbesSA Gazinet CestasTarbesBalmaTarbesBalmaTarbesMontpellier IITarbesMontpellier IITarbesMontpellier IITarbesMontpellier IITarbesMarseille IITarbesTarbesOnet-le-ChateauUS CastanetOnet-le-ChateauGenets D'AngletOnet-le-ChateauLege Cap FerretOnet-le-ChateauToulouse IIOnet-le-ChateauBassin d'ArcachonOnet-le-ChateauBlagnacOnet-le-ChateauColomiersOnet-le-ChateauStade BordelaisOnet-le-ChateauBassin d'ArcachonOnet-le-ChateauPau IIOnet-le-ChateauBlagnacOnet-le-ChateauBordeaux IIOnet-le-ChateauBordeaux IIOnet-le-ChateauPau IIOnet-le-ChateauTarbesOnet-le-Chateau| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hauts Lyonnais | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 47:20 | +27 | 55 |
| 2 |  Macon/Maconnais | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 49:23 | +26 | 51 |
| 3 |  Dijon II | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 42:33 | +9 | 39 |
| 4 |  Romorantin | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 42:28 | +14 | 37 |
| 5 |  US Orleans 2 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 39:34 | +5 | 36 |
| 6 |  Auxerre II | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 31:30 | +1 | 35 |
| 7 |  Saran Usm | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 40:43 | -3 | 33 |
| 8 |  Vierzon | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 41:50 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 |  Feurs | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 40:44 | -4 | 31 |
| 10 |  Chamalieres | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 30:34 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 |  Saint-Etienne II | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 25:33 | -8 | 27 |
| 12 |  Yzeure | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24:45 | -21 | 26 |
| 13 |  Jura Sud | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 14 |  Cosne | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 20 |
Tarbes vs Onet-le-Chateau Prediction (May 09)
Our Tarbes vs Onet-le-Chateau prediction for the National 3 match on May 09, 2026, points to a home win. Tarbes enters the game as the clear favorite with a 60% win probability, while Onet-le-Chateau faces an uphill battle at 15%. The match kicks off at 16:00 and all signs point to the hosts extending their strong home form.
Team Form
Tarbes has been dominant at home, collecting four wins and one draw in their last five matches on their own turf. Recent results include a 2-1 victory at Blagnac, a 1-0 win at Pau II, and a 2-1 success at Bassin d'Arcachon. The only slight blemish was a 1-1 home draw against SA Gazinet Cestas, but overall the team is in excellent shape.
Onet-le-Chateau's away form is more mixed. In their last four road trips (excluding this fixture), they managed one win — a 4-0 thrashing of US Castanet — and three draws against Genets D'Anglet (3-3), Lege Cap Ferret (0-0), and Toulouse II (2-2). While they are tough to beat, turning draws into wins has been a challenge.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no prior head-to-head record between Tarbes and Onet-le-Chateau before this match. This will be the first competitive meeting between the two sides, so no historical data can be used to gauge the outcome.
Win Probability: Tarbes or Onet-le-Chateau?
Based on the available form data and home advantage, we have calculated the following win probabilities:
- Tarbes win: 60%
- Draw: 25%
- Onet-le-Chateau win: 15%
Tarbes' near-perfect home record (four wins in five) gives them a significant edge. Onet-le-Chateau's tendency to draw away from home explains the relatively high draw probability, but their lack of wins on the road makes an away victory unlikely. Home advantage is the decisive factor here.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' odds are not available for this fixture. However, based on the stats, Tarbes is the expected winner. Their consistent home performances and Onet-le-Chateau's struggles to secure away wins point to a home victory. Our final Tarbes vs Onet-le-Chateau prediction is a win for Tarbes.
Tarbes vs Onet-le-Chateau — FAQ
- Who will win Tarbes vs Onet-le-Chateau?
- Tarbes has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Onet-le-Chateau has a 15% chance. Tarbes is the strong favorite thanks to their excellent home form.
- What is the win probability for Tarbes?
- Tarbes has a 60% win probability. This is based on their four wins and one draw in the last five home matches, combined with Onet-le-Chateau's modest away record.
- When is the Tarbes vs Onet-le-Chateau match?
- The match is on May 09, 2026, at 16:00 local time. It is a National 3 fixture in France.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds are not currently available for this match. The prediction is based solely on team form and home advantage.
- What is the head-to-head record between Tarbes and Onet-le-Chateau?
- There are no previous meetings between these two teams. This is the first competitive match between Tarbes and Onet-le-Chateau.