Taraz - Aktobe II prediction 16 July 2026
Taraz
Aktobe IITarazAktobe II
Kaspiy Aktau 2TarazFC Kairat Almaty ReserveTarazTarazShakhter KaragandaKhan TengryTarazTarazAstana 2FC Tobol Kostanay 2TarazTarazFC ArysFC Turan TurkistanTarazTarazJaiyqAcademy OntustykTarazTarazFC Yelimay ReserveAktobe IITarazTarazUlytauTarazEkibastuzTarazAktobe IIAktobe IIKhan TengryFC Tobol Kostanay 2Aktobe IIAktobe IIFC ArysFC Turan TurkistanAktobe IIAktobe IIAcademy OntustykJaiyqAktobe IIAktobe IIFC Yelimay ReserveShakhter KaragandaAktobe IIEkibastuzAktobe IIAktobe IIKaspiy Aktau 2Kairat ZhastarAktobe IIAktobe IITarazAstana 2Aktobe IIAktobe IIKhan TengryTarazAktobe IIAktobe IITarazAktobe IITarazTarazAktobe IIAktobe IITaraz| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Kairat Almaty Reserve | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 44:7 | +37 | 35 |
| 2 |  Shakhter Karaganda | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 36:5 | +31 | 34 |
| 3 |  FC Turan Turkistan | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 25:11 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Astana 2 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 24:22 | +2 | 20 |
| 5 |  Academy Ontustyk | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 |  Jaiyq | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 19 |
| 7 |  Khan Tengry | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 |  Ekibastuz | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:24 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Taraz | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Aktobe II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 26:39 | -13 | 16 |
| 11 |  Kaspiy Aktau 2 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 |  FC Arys | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15:28 | -13 | 10 |
| 13 |  FC Tobol Kostanay 2 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 21:38 | -17 | 7 |
| 14 |  FC Yelimay Reserve | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10:27 | -17 | 6 |
Taraz vs Aktobe II Prediction (Jul 16)
Our Taraz vs Aktobe II prediction for the Kazakhstan 1st Division match on July 16, 2026, points to a home win. Taraz has a 45% probability of victory, while the draw is at 30% and an Aktobe II win at 25%. The match kicks off at 12:00 at Taraz's home ground.
Team Form
Taraz enters this match in disastrous form, having lost their last five league games. They suffered defeats against Kaspiy Aktau 2 (0-1), FC Kairat Almaty Reserve (1-4), Shakhter Karaganda (0-2 at home), Khan Tengry (1-2), and Astana 2 (1-2 at home). The team has conceded 11 goals in these five matches while scoring only 3, highlighting serious defensive issues.
Aktobe II's recent form is mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. They beat Khan Tengry 5-2 at home, drew 5-5 away at FC Tobol Kostanay 2, defeated FC Arys 3-1 at home, but then lost 0-4 away to FC Turan Turkistan and 1-4 at home to Academy Ontustyk. Their away performances have been particularly poor, with only one point from their last two road trips.
Head-to-Head Record
These sides have met four times in recent 1st Division history, with a perfectly balanced record: one win for Taraz, one win for Aktobe II, and two draws. The most recent encounter was on April 17, 2026, when Aktobe II won 1-0 at home. However, Taraz claimed a dominant 4-0 away victory in September 2025. The only previous meeting in Taraz ended in a 3-3 draw in June 2025.
League Table Positions
Both teams are level on 16 points after 13 matches, but Taraz sits 9th and Aktobe II 10th due to goal difference. Taraz has a balanced goal record of 19 scored and 19 conceded, while Aktobe II has scored 26 but leaked 39 goals, the second-worst defence in the league. At home, Taraz has been strong: 4 wins and 2 losses in 6 games, with 11 goals scored and only 6 conceded. In contrast, Aktobe II has struggled on the road, collecting just 3 points from 7 away matches (0 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses).
Win Probability: Taraz or Aktobe II?
Based on the available data, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match: Taraz has a 45% chance of winning, a draw stands at 30%, and Aktobe II has a 25% chance. The home advantage and Taraz's solid home record (4-0-2) give them the edge, despite their terrible recent form. Aktobe II's abysmal away form (0 wins in 7 attempts) significantly reduces their chances. The head-to-head record is even, but Taraz's 4-0 win in the last away meeting suggests they can dominate this opponent. However, Taraz's five-game losing streak cannot be ignored, which is why the draw probability is relatively high at 30%.
Odds & Match Prediction
Odds for this 1st Division fixture are not yet available from bookmakers. Once released, Taraz is expected to be the favorite given the home advantage and Aktobe II's away struggles. Our prediction: Taraz to win. However, considering both teams' inconsistent form, a draw is a realistic outcome. Bettors should wait for the confirmed odds and consider the home win or a double chance bet on Taraz or draw.
Taraz vs Aktobe II — FAQ
- Who will win Taraz vs Aktobe II?
- Taraz is the most likely winner with a 45% chance, followed by a draw at 30% and an Aktobe II victory at 25%. This assessment is based on Taraz's strong home record and Aktobe II's poor away form, despite Taraz's recent losing streak.
- What is the win probability for Taraz?
- Taraz has a 45% chance of winning this match. This probability reflects their solid home performances (4 wins in 6 games, only 6 goals conceded) and Aktobe II's inability to win away (0 wins in 7 road matches), even though Taraz has lost five straight games overall.
- When is the Taraz vs Aktobe II match?
- The match is scheduled for July 16, 2026, at 12:00 (UTC). It is a Kazakhstan 1st Division fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds are not currently available from bookmakers. Check closer to kickoff for the latest 1X2 odds on this 1st Division clash.
- What is the head-to-head record between Taraz and Aktobe II?
- In four previous meetings, Taraz has won once, Aktobe II once, and two matches ended in draws. The last encounter was a 1-0 home win for Aktobe II in April 2026, but Taraz won the prior away game 4-0.