Elva - Tallinna Kalev prediction 24 May 2026
Elva
Tallinna Kalev
Viimsi MRJKElvaFC TallinnElvaJK Nomme Kalju 2ElvaJarva-JaaniElvaElvaFlora Tallinn IIViimsi MRJKElvaElvaFC MaarduElvaTartu JK Welco ElekterLevadia Tallinn IIElvaElvaTallinna KalevNomme United 2ElvaElvaFC TallinnElvaJK Nomme Kalju 2Tartu JK Welco ElekterElvaFlora Tallinn IIElvaLevadia Tallinn IITallinna KalevTallinna KalevFC MaarduTallinna KalevJK Nomme Kalju 2Nomme United 2Tallinna KalevFlora Tallinn IITallinna KalevTallinna KalevLevadia Tallinn IITallinna KalevViimsi MRJKElvaTallinna KalevFC TallinnTallinna KalevTallinna KalevTartu JK Welco ElekterTallinna KalevNomme United 2JK Nomme Kalju 2Tallinna KalevLevadia Tallinn IITallinna KalevTallinna KalevFlora Tallinn IITallinna KalevElvaElvaTallinna KalevTallinna KalevElvaElvaTallinna KalevElvaTallinna KalevElvaTallinna KalevTallinna KalevElvaElvaTallinna KalevElvaTallinna KalevElvaTallinna KalevTallinna KalevElvaElvaTallinna KalevTallinna KalevElvaElvaTallinna Kalev| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tartu JK Welco Elekter | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 62:24 | +38 | 45 |
| 2 |  Viimsi MRJK | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 31:19 | +12 | 32 |
| 3 |  Flora Tallinn II | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 45:35 | +10 | 31 |
| 4 | Elva | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 37:33 | +4 | 30 |
| 5 |  Levadia Tallinn II | 19 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 37:35 | +2 | 24 |
| 6 |  FC Maardu | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 27:46 | -19 | 23 |
| 7 | Tallinna Kalev | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Nomme United 2 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 35:42 | -7 | 20 |
| 9 |  JK Nomme Kalju 2 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30:44 | -14 | 19 |
| 10 |  FC Tallinn | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 25:49 | -24 | 17 |
Tallinna Kalev vs Elva Prediction (May 24, 2026)
The Tallinna Kalev vs Elva prediction for May 24, 2026, in the Estonian Esiliiga points towards a home victory. Tallinna Kalev enters the match as the favorite with a 52% win probability, backed by a dominant head-to-head record and home advantage. The game kicks off at 12:00 at Tallinna Kalev's ground.
Team Form
Tallinna Kalev's recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches (D, W, W, L, L). They scored 12 goals and conceded 10 in those games, showing attacking potential but defensive vulnerability. Their last outing was a 3-3 home draw against FC Maardu on July 3. Elva's form is similar, also recording two wins, two losses, and a draw (D, W, L, L, W). They netted 10 goals and conceded 9. Elva's most recent match was a 2-2 away draw at JK Nomme Kalju 2 on July 5.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Tallinna Kalev. In 13 previous meetings, Tallinna Kalev has won 11, Elva has won just 1, and there has been 1 draw. The most recent clash on May 24, 2026, saw Elva win 3-1 at home, but prior to that, Tallinna Kalev had won four straight encounters, including a 2-1 victory on April 9, 2026.
League Table Positions
In the Esiliiga overall standings, Elva sits 4th with 24 points from 18 matches, while Tallinna Kalev is 6th with 22 points. However, the home and away splits reveal a different story. Tallinna Kalev is stronger at home, ranked 6th with 14 points from 9 games (4 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Elva's away form is weaker, ranked 5th with 9 points from 8 matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses). The table gap is minimal, but home advantage tips the scales.
Win Probability: Tallinna Kalev or Elva?
Based on the available data, the calculated win probabilities are: Tallinna Kalev 52%, draw 24%, Elva 24%. This assessment uses the head-to-head dominance (11 wins for Tallinna Kalev in 13 games) and home/away table performance as the primary factors. Tallinna Kalev's home points-per-game (1.56) significantly outpaces Elva's away record (1.13). While recent form is nearly identical, the historical matchup and venue give Tallinna Kalev a clear edge. Elva's sole head-to-head win came in their very last meeting, adding a note of caution, but the overall trend strongly favors the home side.
Odds & Match Prediction
No specific bookmaker odds are available in the provided data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Tallinna Kalev as the favorite. Our Tallinna Kalev vs Elva prediction is a home win. The combination of a commanding H2H record and superior home form makes Tallinna Kalev the most probable winner, despite Elva's slightly higher league position.
Tallinna Kalev vs Elva — FAQ
- Who will win Tallinna Kalev vs Elva?
- Tallinna Kalev is the predicted winner with a 52% probability. The draw is at 24%, and an Elva win is also at 24%, based on head-to-head history and home advantage.
- What is the win probability for Tallinna Kalev?
- Tallinna Kalev has a 52% chance to win the match. This is calculated from their dominant 11-1 head-to-head record against Elva and their stronger performance at home compared to Elva's away form.
- When is the Tallinna Kalev vs Elva match?
- The match is on May 24, 2026, at 12:00. It is an Esiliiga fixture in Estonia.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Specific odds from bookmakers are not available in the current data. Based on the statistical prediction, Tallinna Kalev would be priced as the favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna Kalev and Elva?
- In 13 previous meetings, Tallinna Kalev has won 11 times, Elva has won once, and there has been 1 draw. Elva's only win was the most recent match on May 24, 2026.