| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 45:15 | +30 | 55 | |
| 2 | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 52:30 | +22 | 54 | |
| 3 | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 35:17 | +18 | 51 | |
| 4 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 42:33 | +9 | 39 | |
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 37:31 | +6 | 36 | |
| 6 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 35 | |
| 7 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 32 | |
| 8 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 35:36 | -1 | 31 | |
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 | |
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 31 | |
| 11 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | +6 | 29 | |
| 12 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 29 | |
| 13 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 25 | |
| 14 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 25 | |
| 15 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 23:45 | -22 | 19 | |
| 16 | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 26:50 | -24 | 19 |
Sydney Olympic vs University of New South Wales prediction previews the NPL NSW fixture played on April 25, 2026. Our win probability model gave Sydney Olympic a 45% chance of winning, and the match ended in a 2-1 home victory, confirming the favorite status.
Sydney Olympic entered the match with mixed recent results. In their last five league outings, they managed one win, one draw, and three defeats: a 2-1 away victory over St George Saints, a 0-4 home loss to Rockdale Ilinden City Suns, a 0-3 away loss to NWS Spirit, a 1-1 home draw with SD Raiders FC, and a 1-2 away defeat to Western Sydney Wanderers 2.
University of New South Wales also struggled in their recent matches, winning just once in five attempts. They recorded a 3-2 home win against Sydney 2 FC, but suffered four losses: 1-3 at home to Sutherland Sharks, 0-1 away to Marconi Stallions, 1-4 home defeat to St George Saints, and a 0-2 loss at SD Raiders FC.
Before April 25, Sydney Olympic and University of New South Wales had never met in competitive action. This match was their first head-to-head encounter, which Sydney Olympic won 2-1, giving them a 1-0 lead in the all-time series with no draws.
At the time of the match, University of New South Wales occupied 12th place in the NPL NSW standings with 25 points from 22 games (7 wins, 4 draws, 11 losses). Sydney Olympic’s exact position was not listed among the top 12, indicating they were likely in the lower half of the table. However, home advantage often plays a key role in such tight contests.
Based on the available data — team form, home advantage, and league table gaps — we calculated the win probability as follows: Sydney Olympic 45%, Draw 25%, University of New South Wales 30%. The home side’s chance was slightly higher due to UNSW’s poor away record and Sydney Olympic’s ability to secure a draw and a win in their prior two home matches. In the end, the 2-1 result matched our pre-match assessment, with Sydney Olympic emerging as the deserved winner.
No pre-match odds were available for this fixture from bookmakers. Based on the stats and the eventual 2-1 scoreline, Sydney Olympic were the correct pick to win. Our prediction aligned with the outcome, highlighting the value of home support in NPL NSW matches.