| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 26 | 3 | 4 | 79:29 | +50 | 81 | |
| 2 | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 75:30 | +45 | 68 | |
| 3 | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 63:34 | +29 | 68 | |
| 4 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 61:41 | +20 | 62 | |
| 5 | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 74:45 | +29 | 57 | |
| 6 | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 52:50 | +2 | 53 | |
| 7 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 68:63 | +5 | 51 | |
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | +1 | 49 | |
| 9 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 64:55 | +9 | 46 | |
| 10 | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 71:62 | +9 | 44 | |
| 11 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 41 | |
| 12 | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 40 | |
| 13 | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 45:61 | -16 | 37 | |
| 14 | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 40:56 | -16 | 36 | |
| 15 | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 38:53 | -15 | 34 | |
| 16 | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 49:72 | -23 | 34 | |
| 17 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | -39 | 25 | |
| 18 | 33 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 27:100 | -73 | 15 |
Our Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki vs Troszyn prediction covers the Aug 09, 2025 III Liga fixture. According to our analysis, visiting Troszyn hold a 39% win probability, making them narrow favourites ahead of this clash.
Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki come into this match with a last‑five record of L, L, L, W, W. Three consecutive defeats – against Wigry Suwalki, Wisla Plock II and Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki – were followed by victories over Lomza and Znicz Biala Piska. Their last result was a 3‑2 away defeat at Wigry Suwalki on May 30.
Troszyn have posted L, L, W, W, D in their last five outings. After back‑to‑back losses to GKS Wikielec and Lomza, they beat Jagiellonia Bialystok II (1‑0) and Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki (4‑1), then drew 1‑1 with Bron Radom. Their most recent match was a 2‑1 defeat at GKS Wikielec.
Only one head‑to‑head meeting is recorded between the sides, which is this Aug 09 contest (won 2‑1 by Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki). No other prior H2H data exists for comparison.
In the overall III Liga standings Troszyn sit 5th with 57 points from 33 matches (17 wins, 6 draws, 10 losses). Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki are 11th with 41 points (12 wins, 5 draws, 16 losses). The home table shows Troszyn were 5th‑best at home (33 points from 17 games), while Swit are not inside the top eight on home form. Away, Troszyn rank 8th with 24 points from 16 matches.
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki: 33%, Draw: 28%, Troszyn: 39%. The calculation uses league positions, home/away balance and recent form. Troszyn’s higher overall rank (5th vs 11th) and respectable away record give them a slight edge, despite Swit’s home advantage. Swit’s poor home standing and three recent losses reduce their chances. The draw is a realistic outcome given both teams’ recent inconsistency.
Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture were not available at the time of writing. Based on the available stats, Troszyn are the narrow favourites to win, reflected in their 39% chance. The low probability gaps underline how finely balanced this III Liga match is. Our final prediction is away win, but the draw is a strong alternative.