Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki - GKS Wikielec prediction 3 May 2026

Our Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki vs GKS Wikielec prediction for May 03, 2026, gave the home side a 55% chance to win, but the match ended 2-4 in favor of GKS Wikielec. The III Liga clash at Stadion Miejski saw the visitors overcome the odds to take all three points.

Team Form

Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki's recent form in their last five matches reads L, L, L, W, W. They suffered defeats to Wigry Suwalki, Wisla Plock II, and Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki, but managed wins over Lomza and Znicz Biala Piska. The team scored 9 goals and conceded 10 in those five outings.

GKS Wikielec's last five results show L, W, D, D, L. They lost to Concordia Elblag in a friendly, beat Troszyn, drew with Zabkovia Zabki and Warta Sieradz, and lost to Legia Warszawa II. They netted 7 goals and conceded 11 during this mixed run.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides features 5 home wins for Swit, 4 away wins for GKS Wikielec, and 0 draws. The most recent meeting was this very match, where GKS won 4-2. Prior to that, Swit won 1-0 away in October 2025, while GKS claimed a 2-0 home win in April 2025 and a 4-1 home victory in March 2024. Swit's last home win over GKS was a 3-1 result in August 2023.

League Table Positions

In the III Liga standings, Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki sits 11th with 41 points from 33 matches (12 wins, 5 draws, 16 losses). GKS Wikielec is not in the top 12, indicating a lower league position. Swit's overall goal difference is -14, while GKS's statistics are not available in the given data.

Win Probability: Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki or GKS Wikielec?

Despite the absence of bookmaker odds, we estimate the win probabilities as follows: Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and GKS Wikielec has a 20% chance. This calculation is based on Swit's higher league ranking (11th vs outside top 12), home advantage, and a slightly better points-per-game average from the available data. The head-to-head record, while balanced, also favors the home side historically. However, the actual match outcome saw GKS Wikielec win 4-2, defying the pre-match probabilities.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match were not available in our data, but bookmakers would likely have seen Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki as the favorite based on league position and home field. Our prediction was a home win, but the final score of 2-4 proved otherwise. This result highlights the unpredictable nature of football, where form and table positions don't always dictate the outcome.