Al Nasr SC - Sur SC prediction 15 February 2026

Sur SC vs Al Nasr SC Prediction: Match Overview

The Sur SC vs Al Nasr SC prediction for the Omani League on Feb 15, 2026, points towards Al Nasr SC as the likely winner. Based on our analysis of head-to-head records, recent form, and league standings, Al Nasr SC holds a 50% win probability, with Sur SC at 25% and the draw also at 25%. This match at the Sur Sports Complex kicks off at 14:50 and promises to be a competitive fixture between an in-form home side and a higher-ranked away team.

Team Form

Sur SC come into this match with an impressive run of form. Their last five results in the Omani League have been D, W, W, W, W, showing just one draw and four wins. That stretch included a 3-3 home draw against Sohar, and convincing victories over Al Khaboora (2-1), Al Shabab Barka Al-Seeb (2-0), and away wins at Oman Club (3-2) and Ibri Club (2-1). Sur SC have been scoring freely, with at least two goals in each of those wins.

Al Nasr SC’s recent form is more mixed: W, D, W, L, L. They won 2-0 away at Saham, drew 1-1 at home with Samail, and beat Bahla 3-1 on the road, but suffered back-to-back home defeats against Al Nahda Al Buraimi (0-1) and Sohar (0-1). That inconsistency, especially in front of goal at home, could be a concern, but their away performances have been solid, with two wins and a draw in the last three travels.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last nine meetings across all competitions, Al Nasr SC have dominated with 5 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 losses against Sur SC. The most recent encounter on Feb 15, 2026, saw Al Nasr SC win 1-0 at home. Prior to that, they defeated Sur SC 3-0 in the Professional League Cup and 2-0 in the Omani League. Sur SC’s last victory in this fixture was a 2-1 away win in the Professional League Cup back in November 2024. The H2H trend heavily favours Al Nasr SC, especially in recent matches.

League Table Positions

Al Nasr SC sit comfortably in 3rd place in the Omani League with 50 points from 25 matches (15 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses). Their strong defensive record of only 20 goals conceded is the second-best in the league. Sur SC are in 8th position with 31 points (8 wins, 7 draws, 10 losses) and a goal difference of -3. At home, Sur SC have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while Al Nasr SC boast the 3rd-best away record with 6 wins, 4 draws, and only 2 defeats. The table suggests a clear gap in quality between these two sides.

Win Probability: Sur SC or Al Nasr SC?

After evaluating all available data, we assign the following win probabilities: Al Nasr SC – 50%, Draw – 25%, Sur SC – 25%. These percentages are based on a combination of factors. Al Nasr SC’s superior standing in the league (3rd vs 8th), dominant head-to-head record (5 wins to 2), and excellent away form (only 2 losses) form the backbone of their favourite status. Sur SC’s recent 4-match winning streak and home advantage give them a realistic chance, but the historical data and the overall season performance tilt the scales in favour of the visitors. Consequently, Al Nasr SC are more likely to win, but a draw or a narrow Sur SC victory cannot be ruled out.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match were not available in the data feed at the time of writing. In typical circumstances, bookmakers would install Al Nasr SC as favourites for the 1X2 market, likely offering shorter odds on an away win. Our prediction aligns with that: Al Nasr SC to win. Given Sur SC’s strong home form, a bet on both teams to score could also have value, but the most probable outcome is an away victory.