Suduva Marijampole - FK Hegelmann Litauen prediction 20 July 2026

The Suduva Marijampole vs FK Hegelmann Litauen prediction for the A Lyga match on July 20, 2026, at 15:45 points to a home win. Based on the stats, Suduva Marijampole has a 58% chance of winning, while FK Hegelmann Litauen has just a 15% chance. The draw probability stands at 27%.

Team Form

Suduva Marijampole are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording three wins and two draws. Their recent results:

• Jul 06: Suduva Marijampole 0-0 Transinvest (D)
• Jun 29: Baltija Panevezys 1-2 Suduva Marijampole (W)
• Jun 21: Dziugas Telsiai 1-2 Suduva Marijampole (W)
• Jun 16: Suduva Marijampole 2-1 Siauliai Futbolo Akademija (W)
• Jun 13: Suduva Marijampole 0-0 Banga Gargzdai (D)

FK Hegelmann Litauen, on the other hand, have struggled for wins, with no victory in their last five outings (three draws, two losses). Their form:

• Jul 16: Paide Linnameeskond 3-0 FK Hegelmann Litauen (L)
• Jul 09: FK Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond (D)
• Jul 04: Baltija Panevezys 1-1 FK Hegelmann Litauen (D)
• Jun 28: Banga Gargzdai 2-0 FK Hegelmann Litauen (L)
• Jun 17: FK Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 Dziugas Telsiai (D)

Head-to-Head Record

In 25 meetings, Suduva Marijampole have won 11, FK Hegelmann Litauen 10, and 4 ended in draws. The last five encounters show a balanced rivalry:

• May 16, 2026: FK Hegelmann Litauen 2-2 Suduva Marijampole (D)
• Mar 14, 2026: Suduva Marijampole 0-0 FK Hegelmann Litauen (D)
• Nov 08, 2025: FK Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 Suduva Marijampole (W)
• Aug 30, 2025: Suduva Marijampole 2-1 FK Hegelmann Litauen (W)
• Jun 30, 2025: FK Hegelmann Litauen 0-2 Suduva Marijampole (W)

League Table Positions

Suduva Marijampole sit 5th in the A Lyga with 30 points from 19 games (7 wins, 9 draws, 3 losses). FK Hegelmann Litauen are 7th with 19 points (3 wins, 10 draws, 6 losses). The home/away split heavily favors the hosts: Suduva are 2nd in the home table, unbeaten in 10 matches (5 wins, 5 draws), while Hegelmann are 7th away with just 1 win in 9 trips (3 draws, 5 losses).

Win Probability: Suduva Marijampole or FK Hegelmann Litauen?

After analyzing the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the win probabilities are:

• Suduva Marijampole win: 58%
• Draw: 27%
• FK Hegelmann Litauen win: 15%

Suduva's strong home form (unbeaten) and Hegelmann's poor away record (only one win) are the decisive factors. The bookmakers' odds also point to a clear home favorite, and the probability adjustment confirms that Suduva Marijampole is the team most likely to win.

Suduva Marijampole vs FK Hegelmann Litauen Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers offer odds around 1.77 for a Suduva Marijampole victory, 3.50 for a draw, and 5.55 for an FK Hegelmann Litauen win. These odds reflect the home side's dominance. Based on the stats, a home win is the most probable outcome. The recommended betting tip is to back Suduva Marijampole to win, given their consistent form and the visitors' struggles on the road.