Stockport County - Stevenage prediction 13 May 2026

Stevenage vs Stockport County prediction for the League 1 match on May 13 at 19:00 UTC. Based on our analysis, Stevenage has a 40% chance to win, with a draw at 30% and Stockport County at 30%. The hosts' strong home record makes them slight favorites, but the visitors' recent form keeps this fixture evenly poised.

Team Form

Stevenage's last four league matches before this fixture delivered a mixed return: a 0-1 home loss to Stockport County, a 1-0 win over Wigan Athletic, a 1-1 draw at Doncaster Rovers, and a 1-0 home success against Barnsley. That sequence (L, W, D, W) underlines home solidity but also a recent slip against the same opponent.

Stockport County arrive with wind in their sails, having won two straight away contests — 1-0 at Stevenage and 3-1 at Barnsley — before those results, they fell 1-2 at home to Port Vale. Overall, the recent W, W, L pattern highlights their ability to score on the road, netting four times in the last two away trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record stands at 5 home wins and 5 away wins from 10 meetings, with no draws. The last two encounters saw the visiting team triumph: Stockport County won 1-0 at Stevenage on May 9, 2026, while Stevenage returned the favour with a 2-1 away victory on February 28, 2026. This trend suggests both sides can exploit each other's defense away from home.

League Table Positions

In the overall League 1 table, Stockport County rank 3rd with 77 points from 46 matches, while Stevenage sit 6th with 75 points. Home and away splits reveal Stevenage's fortress — 4th in the home table with 14 wins, 7 draws and just 2 losses, conceding only 13 goals. Stockport County are 4th in the away standings with 9 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses, shipping 32 goals. Stevenage's defensive strength at home contrasts with Stockport's average away record, adding weight to the hosts' status as favorites.

Win Probability: Stevenage or Stockport County?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Stevenage 40%, draw 30%, Stockport County 30%. The reasoning combines Stevenage's outstanding home defensive numbers (only 13 goals conceded in 23 home games) with the recent H2H result where Stockport won on this ground. The visitors' consecutive away wins and superior league position balance the scales, but home advantage tips the probability slightly in Stevenage's favour. Overall, Stevenage are more likely to win, yet a draw remains a highly plausible outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Match odds are not currently available for this fixture. Bookmakers typically weigh home advantage heavily in such contests, and with Stevenage's home record they would likely be installed as favourites. Our prediction based on the stats: Stevenage to edge a narrow win, with the draw as the main risk. Both teams to score could also be a value angle given both sides' recent scoring form.