La Tour/Le Paquier - Stade Nyonnais prediction 17 August 2025

Stade Nyonnais vs La Tour/Le Paquier prediction for the Switzerland Cup match on August 17, 2025, at 13:00 UTC. Based on team strength, league levels, and home advantage, Stade Nyonnais enters this fixture as the clear favorite with a 65% win probability. La Tour/Le Paquier has a 15% chance of an upset, while a draw is estimated at 20%.

Team Form

Stade Nyonnais comes into this match with a poor recent record: D, L, L, L, L in their last five outings. Those results include a 1–1 draw against Servette in a friendly and losses to Rapperswil-Jona (2–1), Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (1–3), Aarau (5–1), and FC Wil 1900 (0–1). Notably, most of these opponents are from the Challenge League or higher, so the level of competition has been strong.

La Tour/Le Paquier has lost both of their last two matches – a 2–1 defeat at Martigny Sports in the 2. Liga Interregional and a cup loss earlier. The team competes in the fifth tier of Swiss football and lacks recent match practice against higher-division sides.

Head-to-Head Record

These two teams have met only once before, with La Tour/Le Paquier winning that home encounter. Historically, the head-to-head record stands at 1 home win for La Tour/Le Paquier, no draws, and no away wins for Stade Nyonnais. However, that single match took place at La Tour/Le Paquier’s ground, and this time Stade Nyonnais enjoys home advantage.

League Table Positions

No league table data is available for this Cup fixture, as the teams compete in different divisions and the match is outside regular league competition.

Win Probability: Stade Nyonnais or La Tour/Le Paquier?

After analyzing all available factors, we assign the following win probabilities:

• Stade Nyonnais win: 65%
• Draw: 20%
• La Tour/Le Paquier win: 15%

Stade Nyonnais’s higher league status (Challenge League vs. 2. Liga Interregional) and the benefit of playing at home are the main reasons for this strong favorite tag. Their recent poor form came against significantly tougher opponents. Meanwhile, La Tour/Le Paquier’s only historical win in this fixture came at home, and they have little recent form to suggest they can repeat that result on the road. The 20% draw probability reflects the possibility that Stade Nyonnais’s struggles could lead to a stalemate, but a home win remains the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this match are not available at the time of writing. Based on the stats, team form, and home advantage, our prediction is a Stade Nyonnais victory. La Tour/Le Paquier’s chances are slim, and the value likely lies with the home side if odds become available.