St Mirren - Partick Thistle prediction 25 May 2026
St Mirren
Partick Thistle
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St Mirren face Partick Thistle on May 25, 2026, in the Scottish Premiership. Our prediction gives the home side a 55% chance of victory, with the draw at 25% and the visitors at 20%.
Team Form
St Mirren enter this match in strong form. Their last five results read W, W, D, D, W — three wins and two draws, showing consistency. Most recently, they beat Aberdeen 2–0 away on May 12 and drew 1–1 with Dundee United at home on May 17. The only blemish was a 1–1 stalemate at Partick Thistle on May 21. The Buddies are unbeaten in five and have lost just once in their last nine across all competitions according to the data.
Partick Thistle’s form is less convincing. Their last five away results stand at L, D, W, D, D — just one win, three draws, and one defeat. They drew 1–1 at home to St Mirren on May 21, beat Dunfermline 2–1 at home on May 15, and drew 1–1 at Dunfermline and at home to Queens Park earlier in May. The Jags have struggled for wins on the road, managing only one victory in their last five travels.
Head-to-Head Record
The recent meetings heavily favour St Mirren. In the three matches included in the head-to-head data, the home side has won twice and one ended level. Notable results:
- Mar 8, 2026 (FA Cup): St Mirren 2–1 Partick Thistle
- May 21, 2026 (Premiership): Partick Thistle 1–1 St Mirren
Overall, St Mirren have won 2, drawn 1, and lost 0 against Partick Thistle. The visitors are yet to record a win in this fixture, giving the hosts a clear psychological edge.
Win Probability: St Mirren or Partick Thistle?
Based on the available form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the probabilities as follows:
- St Mirren win: 55%
- Draw: 25%
- Partick Thistle win: 20%
St Mirren’s unbeaten run, strong home performances, and dominance in H2H encounters justify their favourite status. Partick Thistle’s low away win rate and inability to beat St Mirren in recent meetings support the 20% estimate. A home victory is the likeliest outcome.
Odds & Match Prediction
At the time of writing, specific 1X2 odds were not available. However, taking the underlying stats into account, bookmakers would likely price St Mirren as strong favourites. Our final prediction is a St Mirren win, possibly with a clean sheet. The under 2.5 goals market could also be worth considering given both teams’ recent low-scoring encounters — exactly that bet would have landed in four of Partick Thistle’s last five matches.
St Mirren vs Partick Thistle — FAQ
- Who will win St Mirren vs Partick Thistle?
- St Mirren are the favourites with a 55% win probability. The draw stands at 25%, and Partick Thistle have a 20% chance. This is based on the home side’s strong form, dominant head-to-head record, and Partick’s poor away results.
- What is the win probability for St Mirren?
- St Mirren has a 55% chance of winning this match. Their recent form (three wins, two draws in last five) and a 2-1-0 head-to-head advantage over Partick Thistle heavily influence this forecast.
- When is the St Mirren vs Partick Thistle match?
- The match will be played on May 25, 2026, at 19:00 local time. It is a Scottish Premiership fixture.
- What are the odds for St Mirren vs Partick Thistle?
- Exact match odds were not available at the time of analysis. Based on the data, St Mirren would be expected to be short-odds favourites, while Partick Thistle would carry a higher price.
- What is the head-to-head record between St Mirren and Partick Thistle?
- In the last three meetings, St Mirren have won two and drawn one. Partick Thistle have yet to win. Notable results include a 2–1 FA Cup win for St Mirren in March 2026 and a 1–1 draw in the most recent league encounter on May 21, 2026.