St Johnstone - Dundee United prediction 15 July 2025

Our St Johnstone vs Dundee United prediction for this July 15 Friendly Clubs match points towards a home advantage. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, St Johnstone enters as the favorite with a 52% win probability.

Team Form

St Johnstone comes into this match in outstanding form, having won their last five matches. Recent victories include a 4-0 away win against Forfar Athletic, a 1-0 win at Ayr United, and a 2-0 home victory over Raith Rovers. They have been scoring freely and keeping clean sheets consistently.

Dundee United's form is more mixed. Their last five results show two draws, two losses, and one win. They drew 1-1 with St Mirren and 0-0 with Livingston, but suffered defeats to Aberdeen (2-0) and Kilmarnock (3-0). Their sole recent win was a 3-0 derby victory over Dundee.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last 18 meetings between these sides, Dundee United holds a slight edge with 7 wins to St Johnstone's 6, alongside 5 draws. The most recent encounter was this exact fixture, a 1-1 draw in the Friendly Clubs competition. Before that, Dundee United won 1-0 at home in April 2025, and St Johnstone lost 2-1 at home in December 2024. The H2H record suggests a closely contested match is likely.

League Table Positions

As this is a Friendly Clubs match, current league table positions are not directly applicable. However, the recent competitive data shows St Johnstone playing in the Championship and Dundee United competing in the Premiership, indicating Dundee United faced a higher level of opposition in their recent fixtures.

Win Probability: St Johnstone or Dundee United?

We calculate the win probability based on recent form, head-to-head record, and the home/away factor. St Johnstone has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Dundee United has a 20% chance. St Johnstone's perfect five-match winning run gives them a significant momentum advantage, while Dundee United's inconsistent form and away struggles make them the underdog here.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific bookmaker odds are available in the data for this match. Based purely on the stats, St Johnstone is the more likely winner. Their strong defensive record and high-scoring attack in recent games contrast with Dundee United's difficulty in finding the net on the road. Our prediction is a home win for St Johnstone, though the H2H history suggests a draw is a real possibility.