Sportivo Ameliano Women - Rubio Nu Women prediction 16 July 2026

The Sportivo Ameliano Women vs Rubio Nu Women prediction for July 16, 2026, points to a closely contested match in the Paraguay Championship Women. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, the draw is the most probable outcome at 40%, with Rubio Nu Women holding a slight edge to win at 35% over Sportivo Ameliano Women's 25%.

Team Form

Sportivo Ameliano Women enter this match in poor form, with one draw and four losses in their last five outings. Their most recent result was a 1-1 draw against Rubio Nu Women on July 12. Before that, they suffered heavy defeats:

• Jul 12: Rubio Nu Women 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Women (D)
• Jun 28: Sportivo Trinidense Women 3-2 Sportivo Ameliano Women (L)
• May 24: Recoleta FC Women 6-2 Sportivo Ameliano Women (L)
• May 17: Sportivo Ameliano Women 0-10 Olimpia Asuncion Women (L)
• May 10: Sportivo Ameliano Women 0-4 Cerro Porteno Women (L)

Defensive frailties are evident, conceding 24 goals in those five matches. Home advantage has offered little comfort, with two heavy home defeats in that run.

Rubio Nu Women have shown more resilience, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five:

• Jul 12: Rubio Nu Women 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Women (D)
• Jun 28: Rubio Nu Women 0-6 Cerro Porteno Women (L)
• May 31: Nacional Humaita Women 2-3 Rubio Nu Women (W)
• May 24: Rubio Nu Women 3-1 2 de Mayo Women (W)
• May 16: Sportivo Luqueno Women 1-1 Rubio Nu Women (D)

Their form is inconsistent but notably stronger than their opponents', with the heavy loss to Cerro Porteno Women being the only real blemish in recent weeks.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once, just days ago on July 12, 2026. That match ended in a 1-1 draw, with Rubio Nu Women as the home side. The limited history suggests a balanced matchup, with neither side able to claim dominance.

Win Probability: Sportivo Ameliano Women or Rubio Nu Women?

We calculate the win probabilities based on bookmaker odds, recent form, and the head-to-head result. The raw implied probabilities from the odds (home 3.20, draw 2.38, away 2.63) were adjusted to remove the margin, giving a baseline of 28% home win, 38% draw, 34% away win. Factoring in Sportivo Ameliano Women's disastrous form—four straight losses and a -20 goal difference in their last five—and Rubio Nu Women's comparatively better results, we shift the probabilities slightly. Home advantage is minimal given Sportivo Ameliano's heavy home defeats. Our final assessment: Sportivo Ameliano Women has a 25% chance of winning, the draw stands at 40%, and Rubio Nu Women has a 35% chance. The draw is the most likely outcome, but Rubio Nu Women are the more probable winner if there is one.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as a tight contest. The best available odds are around 3.10–3.20 for a home win, 2.38–2.40 for the draw, and 2.55–2.63 for an away win. The low draw odds reflect the expectation of a stalemate, which aligns with the recent 1-1 result. Our Sportivo Ameliano Women vs Rubio Nu Women prediction is a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline being a plausible repeat. However, given Sportivo Ameliano Women's defensive struggles, Rubio Nu Women could edge it if they capitalize on chances. Betting tips: the draw is the safest pick, while a small stake on Rubio Nu Women to win offers value at odds above 2.60.