Sport Sinop MT - CE Operario Varzea-Grandense MT prediction 17 January 2026

The Campeonato Mato-Grossense match between Sport Sinop MT and CE Operario Varzea-Grandense MT kicks off on January 17, 2026, at 23:00. Based on head-to-head dominance and recent away results, CE Operario Varzea-Grandense MT enters this fixture as the favorite with a calculated 52% win probability. Our Sport Sinop MT vs CE Operario Varzea-Grandense MT prediction examines the form, stats, and league table to help you understand who will win.

Team Form

Sport Sinop MT's last five matches show a mixed trend: D, W, W, L, W. In their most recent outing on May 31, they drew 0-0 at home against Santa Cruz MT. They secured a strong 3-0 home victory over Gremio Sorriso on Apr 30 and an away 2-1 win at Luverdense MT on Feb 22. A 0-1 home loss to Luverdense MT on Feb 15 was followed by a 1-0 home win against Cuiaba MT on Feb 12. The side is undefeated in their last three league matches.

CE Operario Varzea-Grandense MT's last five results read L, L, D, L, W. Their latest match on Jun 07 ended in a 1-0 away defeat at Goiatuba GO. A heavy 1-5 home loss to Capital DF on May 30 was preceded by a 1-1 away draw at Mixto MT on May 23. They lost 1-2 at home to Uniao Rondonopolis MT on May 16 and won 1-0 away at Ceilandia DF on May 09. The away team's form is inconsistent, with only one win in five.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H record strongly favors the away side. In 9 previous meetings, CE Operario Varzea-Grandense MT has won 6 times, while Sport Sinop MT has 3 victories, with no draws ever recorded. The most recent clash was on Jan 17, 2026, where CE Operario Varzea-Grandense MT secured a 1-0 away win. On Jan 20, 2025, CE Operario dominated with a 4-0 home victory. The biggest margin came on Mar 04, 2023, when Sport Sinop MT lost 1-6 at home. Sport Sinop's last H2H win was a 3-2 home result on Feb 12, 2022.

League Table Positions

In the Campeonato Mato-Grossense overall standings, Sport Sinop MT sits in 3rd place with 7 points from 3 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), scoring 5 goals and conceding just 1. At home, they are 2nd with 4 points from 2 games, keeping clean sheets in both. CE Operario Varzea-Grandense MT is not present in the current league table data, suggesting they may be competing in a different phase or group of the competition.

Win Probability: Sport Sinop MT or CE Operario Varzea-Grandense MT?

We have calculated the match outcome probabilities: Sport Sinop MT has a 25% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and CE Operario Varzea-Grandense MT has a 52% chance of winning. This estimation is derived from the H2H record where the away team has won 6 of 9 encounters, including the most recent fixture. Sport Sinop MT's solid league position and strong home defensive record (0 goals conceded at home) give them a fighting chance, but the historical match-up gap and their defeat in the last H2H justify the favorite status for the visitors. The lack of draws in H2H history is reflected, though a low probability is assigned based on the home team's recent resilience.

Odds & Match Prediction

No specific 1X2 odds are available in the provided data. However, based on the stats, bookmakers would likely price CE Operario Varzea-Grandense MT as the favorite given their 6-3 H2H advantage and the psychological edge from winning the last encounter. Our final Sport Sinop MT vs CE Operario Varzea-Grandense MT prediction leans toward an away victory, but with an expectation of a tight contest considering the home side's defensive form and the visitors' shaky recent results. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline for the away team appears to be a probable match outcome based on the available information.