Goias GO - Sport Recife PE prediction 22 July 2026

Goias GO vs Sport Recife PE prediction for the Serie B match on July 22, 2026, at 23:30 UTC. Based on odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, Goias GO enters as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while a draw is given 35% and Sport Recife PE a 25% chance.

Team Form

Goias GO's last five matches: W, D, W, W, L. They won 2–1 away against Ponte Preta SP on Jul 18, drew 2–2 at CRB AL, beat Ceara CE 2–0 at home, won 1–0 at Nautico PE, and lost 0–3 at home to Operario PR. Overall, three wins, one draw, one loss in that period.

Sport Recife PE's last five: D, D, L, L, D. Most recently a 2–2 home draw with Operario PR on Jul 18, a 3–3 draw against Botafogo SP, a 0–1 loss at Criciuma SC, a 1–2 loss at Fortaleza CE, and a 1–1 home draw with Atletico Goianiense GO. No wins in that stretch, with three draws and two defeats.

Head-to-Head Record

The two previous meetings between these sides show one win each, both coming at home. Goias GO won 1–0 at home on Dec 26, 2020, in Serie A. Sport Recife PE won 2–1 at home on Sep 6, 2020, also in Serie A. There have been no draws.

League Table Positions

In the overall Serie B table, Goias GO sits 7th with 28 points (8 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses), while Sport Recife PE is 9th with 27 points (6 wins, 9 draws, 3 losses). At home, Goias GO ranks 8th with 15 points from 8 games (5 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). Away, Sport Recife PE ranks 6th with 12 points from 8 games (3 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses).

Win Probability: Goias GO or Sport Recife PE?

Based on odds, team form, head-to-head results, and home/away records, the probability of each outcome is: Goias GO win 40%, draw 35%, Sport Recife PE win 25%. Bookmakers’ average odds imply similar percentages, but Goias’s stronger recent form (3 wins in 5) and home advantage are offset by Sport Recife’s solid away record (3 wins, 3 draws in 8) and Goias’s lack of home draws. The model slightly favors the home side, but the draw is a very real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Pre-match odds from multiple bookmakers show a range: home win (Goias GO) from 2.15 to 2.23, draw from 2.05 to 3.33, and away win (Sport Recife PE) from 3.40 to 4.00. The best available odds for a home win are 2.23, for a draw 2.05, and for an away win 4.00. Bookmakers see Goias GO as the favorite, but the low draw odds in some markets signal a high chance of a stalemate. Our prediction aligns with the stats: Goias GO is more likely to win, but the draw cannot be ignored.