Sport Huancayo - Atletico Grau prediction 25 July 2026

The Sport Huancayo vs Atletico Grau prediction for the Primera Division match on July 25, 2026, at 18:00 points to a tight contest. Based on the odds and recent form, Sport Huancayo enters as a slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Atletico Grau holds a 30% chance of an away victory, and the draw sits at 28%.

Team Form

Sport Huancayo's recent form is inconsistent, with results showing L, D, L, W, L in their last five matches. They suffered a 2-1 loss to Universitario De Deportes on May 31, drew 2-2 with Cienciano on May 24, and lost 4-1 to FBC Melgar on May 16. A 2-1 win over Juan Pablo II on May 10 was followed by a 4-1 defeat to Alianza Atletico on May 3.

Atletico Grau shows stronger recent form with W, W, L, W, L. They secured a 3-1 home win against UTC Cajamarca on July 18 and a 1-0 victory over Cesar Vallejo Moquegua on May 29. A 1-0 loss to Cusco FC on May 23 was offset by an impressive 1-0 away win at Universitario De Deportes on May 16, before a 2-1 home loss to Cienciano on May 9.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams shows Sport Huancayo with 5 wins, Atletico Grau with 2 wins, and 3 draws in their last 10 meetings. The most recent encounter on February 7, 2026, ended in a 0-0 draw. Atletico Grau won 3-1 at home on September 26, 2025, but Sport Huancayo responded with a 3-0 home win on May 2, 2025. Atletico Grau also claimed a 3-1 away victory on October 17, 2024, while a 0-0 draw occurred on September 25, 2023.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall league table provided. The standings are led by Alianza Lima with 40 points from 17 matches, followed by Los Chankas CYC (34 points) and Cienciano (33 points). The home table is topped by Alianza Lima, while the away table is also led by Alianza Lima. The absence of Sport Huancayo and Atletico Grau from the available standings data suggests they are positioned lower in the table.

Win Probability: Sport Huancayo or Atletico Grau?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, the calculated win probabilities are: Sport Huancayo has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Atletico Grau has a 30% chance. The odds imply a tight match, with the home side slightly favored. Sport Huancayo's historical edge in H2H (5 wins to 2) and home advantage support their favorite status, but Atletico Grau's superior recent form, including an away win at Universitario, balances the probabilities.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer tight odds for this fixture. The best available odds are: Sport Huancayo win at 2.05, draw at 2.18, and Atletico Grau win at 4.80. The narrow margin between home win and draw odds reflects the competitive nature expected. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for Sport Huancayo, but a draw is a strong possibility given both teams' recent results and the 0-0 draw in their last meeting.