| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 70:24 | +46 | 66 | |
| 2 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 61:35 | +26 | 55 | |
| 3 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | |
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 52:46 | +6 | 46 | |
| 5 | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 42:40 | +2 | 45 | |
| 6 | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 44:43 | +1 | 43 | |
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43:47 | -4 | 41 | |
| 8 | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 41 | |
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 46:44 | +2 | 40 | |
| 10 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 38:39 | -1 | 40 | |
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:43 | +1 | 39 | |
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 36 | |
| 13 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 37:53 | -16 | 31 | |
| 14 | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 42:62 | -20 | 31 | |
| 15 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 37:45 | -8 | 31 | |
| 16 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 26:68 | -42 | 13 |
For the Spittal vs TSV Grafenstein prediction on April 10, 2026, in the Austrian Landesliga, the pre‐match numbers gave Spittal a 40% chance of victory. The match ended 2–1 to Spittal, confirming their narrow favorite status. Our analysis breaks down the team form, head‐to‐head record, and probabilities behind this outcome.
Spittal’s last five results across all Landesliga matches read W, L, L, D, D. They recorded one win, two draws, and two defeats, showing inconsistency. The most notable result was a 4–1 home win over KAC 1909 on June 3, 2026, but they also suffered a 0–4 home loss to Lendorf.
TSV Grafenstein’s recent form is much stronger at W, W, L, W, W. Four wins in five outings, including a 6–1 away demolition of Treibach and a 3–2 home victory against SV Dellach/Gail, underline their attacking threat. Their only blip was a 3–5 defeat at Volkermarkt.
These two teams have met only once in official Landesliga competition. That meeting was the very match under review, which finished 2–1 in Spittal’s favor. As a result, the pre‐match head‐to‐head record shows home wins: 1, draws: 0, away wins: 0.
Based on the available data—home advantage, recent form, and the inverse of expected outcomes—the win probabilities for this fixture are as follows: Spittal win 40%, draw 28%, TSV Grafenstein win 32%. Despite TSV Grafenstein’s far superior away form (2.4 points per game vs. Spittal’s 1.0 at home), the inherent home advantage and the fact that the only meeting went to the home side tipped the balance slightly in Spittal’s favor. Still, the gap was small, and a draw was a very realistic possibility.
No bookmaker odds are available for this Landesliga encounter. Our statistical model therefore used form, head‐to‐head, and home/away dynamics to produce the probabilities. The prediction pointed to a narrow Spittal win, a forecast that held true exactly as the match ended 2–1. Spittal delivered a performance just strong enough to justify the 40% pre‐match win chance.