Spartak Myjava - TJ Kovo Belusa prediction 24 April 2026

The Spartak Myjava vs TJ Kovo Belusa prediction for the 3 Liga match on April 24, 2026, points to a home victory. The game kicks off at 17:00 local time at Futbalový štadión Spartak Myjava, a 2,795-capacity grass venue in Myjava. Our win probability analysis gives Spartak Myjava a 45% chance to win, with the draw at 30% and TJ Kovo Belusa at 25%.

Team Form

Spartak Myjava

Spartak Myjava are unbeaten in their last five matches, recording two wins and three draws. Their recent results include a 4-0 friendly win over Piestany, a 1-1 home draw with Dunajska Streda B, and a 5-3 victory against AS Trencin B. At home, they have been solid, scoring freely and avoiding defeat in their last three outings at this stadium.

TJ Kovo Belusa

TJ Kovo Belusa come into this match in strong form, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five games. They beat AS Trencin B 1-0, thrashed Castkovce 4-1 away, and defeated Druzstevnik Velke Ludince 3-0. Their only recent setback was a 3-2 loss at Slovan Galanta, while they drew 1-1 at Gabcikovo. On the road, Belusa have been competitive, picking up four points from their last two away trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides is evenly balanced. In their last four meetings across all competitions, Spartak Myjava have won once, with the other three ending in draws. The results are:

• Sep 28, 2025: TJ Kovo Belusa 2-2 Spartak Myjava (3 Liga)
• May 14, 2025: Spartak Myjava 1-1 TJ Kovo Belusa (3 Liga)
• Nov 3, 2024: TJ Kovo Belusa 0-0 Spartak Myjava (3 Liga)
• Jul 15, 2023: Spartak Myjava 3-1 TJ Kovo Belusa (Friendly)

These stats highlight how closely matched the teams are, with three consecutive league draws before this fixture.

Win Probability: Spartak Myjava or TJ Kovo Belusa?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Spartak Myjava win – 45%, draw – 30%, TJ Kovo Belusa win – 25%. The home side gets the edge thanks to their unbeaten run and home advantage. However, Belusa's recent form and the history of draws in this fixture make a stalemate a very realistic outcome. Myjava's ability to score at home (8 goals in their last two home matches) could be decisive, but Belusa have also shown they can find the net away from home. Overall, Spartak Myjava are the more likely winners, but the draw cannot be discounted.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this fixture are not yet available. Nevertheless, our stats-based prediction aligns with the view that Spartak Myjava are the more likely winners. The betting tips for this match would lean towards a home win, but with a safety net of the draw given the head-to-head trends. A bet on both teams to score could also be worth considering, as both sides have been involved in high-scoring games recently.

Final prediction: Spartak Myjava to win, but a draw is a strong possibility.