EF Puebla de la Calzada - SP Villafranca prediction 21 March 2026
EF Puebla de la Calzada
SP VillafrancaEF Puebla de la Calzada
AD LlerenenseCD BadajozEF Puebla de la CalzadaEF Puebla de la CalzadaAtletico PueblonuevoUD MontijoEF Puebla de la CalzadaEF Puebla de la CalzadaMoraloCD DiocesanoEF Puebla de la CalzadaEF Puebla de la CalzadaSP VillafrancaDon BenitoEF Puebla de la CalzadaEF Puebla de la CalzadaSanta AmaliaAzuagaEF Puebla de la CalzadaJerezEF Puebla de la CalzadaEF Puebla de la CalzadaClub Deportivo GevoraCD CalamonteEF Puebla de la CalzadaEF Puebla de la CalzadaJaraizMontehermosoEF Puebla de la CalzadaCD DiocesanoSP VillafrancaSP VillafrancaJerezSP VillafrancaDon BenitoSanta AmaliaSP VillafrancaSP VillafrancaAzuagaClub Deportivo GevoraSP VillafrancaSP VillafrancaCD CalamonteMartinencSP VillafrancaEF Puebla de la CalzadaSP VillafrancaSP VillafrancaJaraizMontehermosoSP VillafrancaSP VillafrancaVillanovenseCD Cabeza del BueySP VillafrancaPobla MafumetSP VillafrancaSP VillafrancaAD LlerenenseEF Puebla de la CalzadaSP VillafrancaSP VillafrancaEF Puebla de la Calzada| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arosa | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 58:35 | +23 | 70 |
| 2 |  Compostela | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:28 | +27 | 68 |
| 3 |  Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 |
| 4 |  CD Estradense | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 46:33 | +13 | 53 |
| 5 |  Villalbes | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 36:29 | +7 | 52 |
| 6 |  CD Boiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:29 | +16 | 51 |
| 7 |  Celta Vigo C | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57:42 | +15 | 51 |
| 8 |  Somozas | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37:32 | +5 | 51 |
| 9 |  Atletico Coruna Montaneros CF | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:42 | +6 | 48 |
| 10 |  Polvorin FC (CD Lugo II) | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | +6 | 48 |
| 11 |  CD Barco | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 46 |
| 12 |  Alondras CF | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 45 |
| 13 |  Celtiga | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47:48 | -1 | 40 |
| 14 |  Viveiro CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 38 |
| 15 |  Silva SD | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 |  Club Juventud Cambados | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 24:43 | -19 | 26 |
| 17 |  CF Noia | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 18 |  Barbadas | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25:69 | -44 | 19 |
SP Villafranca vs EF Puebla de la Calzada Match Prediction (Mar 21)
The SP Villafranca vs EF Puebla de la Calzada prediction for the Tercera Federacion match on March 21, 2026, at 17:00 suggests the home side is the favorite with a 45% win probability. Team form and head-to-head records give SP Villafranca a slight edge, though EF Puebla de la Calzada have proven dangerous on the road in this fixture.
Team Form
SP Villafranca come into this match with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five outings (D, W, W, W, L). Their most recent result was a 4-4 draw away to CD Diocesano. At home, they beat Jerez 2-1 and Don Benito 1-0 before a 0-2 loss to Azuaga. The attack has scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches, while the defense kept two clean sheets during that run.
EF Puebla de la Calzada have struggled recently, posting W, L, D, L, L in the same period. A 4-1 home win over AD Llerenense was followed by a heavy 5-0 defeat at CD Badajoz and a 1-1 draw with Atletico Pueblonuevo. Away from home, they have lost both of their last two trips by a combined 6-0 scoreline, showing clear vulnerability on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
These sides have met twice before, with each team claiming one win and no draws. The most recent encounter, on November 9, 2025, saw EF Puebla de la Calzada win 2-1 at SP Villafranca. Historically, the away side has won both head-to-head meetings, so the venue may not be a decisive factor.
Win Probability: SP Villafranca or EF Puebla de la Calzada?
Based on team form and head-to-head analysis, the win probabilities for this match are:
- SP Villafranca: 45%
- Draw: 25%
- EF Puebla de la Calzada: 30%
SP Villafranca are given the highest chance due to their stronger recent results and home advantage (two wins in their last three home games). However, EF Puebla de la Calzada cannot be underestimated after winning on this ground in 2025. The draw probability reflects the possibility of a tight contest, as both teams have shown they can cancel each other out in spells.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers have not released odds for this fixture yet. When available, the 1X2 market is likely to price SP Villafranca as slight favorites. Our prediction, drawn from the available stats, is a home win or a cautious draw. Both teams have scoring potential, but the home side’s consistency makes them the more probable winner.
SP Villafranca vs EF Puebla de la Calzada — FAQ
- Who will win SP Villafranca vs EF Puebla de la Calzada?
- Based on our analysis, SP Villafranca has a 45% chance of winning, a draw is at 25%, and EF Puebla de la Calzada has a 30% chance. The home team’s recent form and home results give them the edge, but the visitors have won on this ground before.
- What is the win probability for SP Villafranca?
- SP Villafranca holds a 45% win probability. Their three victories in the last five matches and two home wins before the loss to Azuaga support this, although EF Puebla’s 2-1 victory here in November 2025 prevents an even higher figure.
- When is the SP Villafranca vs EF Puebla de la Calzada match?
- The match takes place on March 21, 2026, at 17:00 local time. It is a Tercera Federacion fixture in Spain.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds for SP Villafranca vs EF Puebla de la Calzada have not yet been published by bookmakers. Once released, the 1X2 odds are expected to favor SP Villafranca as the home side.
- What do the betting tips suggest for this game?
- Our betting tips point toward a home win or a draw. SP Villafranca’s solid home record and overall form make them the safer pick, but EF Puebla de la Calzada’s ability to win away in this matchup adds value to the draw option.