The NPL Queensland Women clash between Souths United Women and North Lakes United Women on Aug 03, 2025, sees the visitors holding a clear upper hand. Based on recent form and head-to-head data, North Lakes United Women has a 65% win probability, making them the heavy favourites for this encounter.
Souths United Women are in disastrous shape, losing their last five matches by heavy margins: 0-13, 0-12, 0-6, 0-3 and 3-4. They have conceded 38 goals in those games, highlighting a fragile defence. North Lakes United Women, in contrast, have won three of their last five outings. They beat Moreton City Excelsior Women 6-0, Virginia United Women 3-0 and Sunshine Coast Women 5-2, drew 0-0 with Grange Thistle Women and lost 1-0 to Peninsula Power Women. The form gap is enormous.
The last two meetings between these sides produced one win apiece, both at home. Souths United Women won 2-1 in May 2025, while North Lakes United Women triumphed 3-2 in June 2025. No draws have occurred, and the H2H is finely balanced.
Home advantage is neutralised by Souths United Womenโs terrible run. North Lakes United Womenโs momentum is strong, and they enter the match as clear favourites. Our probability estimates are: Souths United Women win โ 15%, Draw โ 20%, North Lakes United Women win โ 65%. The visitorsโ chance is above 60% because of the huge form discrepancy, despite the even head-to-head history.
No specific odds are available for this fixture. Bookmakers would undoubtedly price North Lakes United Women as the strong favourites. The most likely outcome is an away victory, and with Souths United Women conceding heavily, over 2.5 goals is also a plausible betting angle. Our prediction: North Lakes United Women to win.