South Hobart Women - Launceston United Women prediction 19 July 2026

Our South Hobart Women vs Launceston United Women prediction for this Tasmania Premier League Women fixture on July 19, 2026, at 04:00 UTC points towards a home win. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and team form, South Hobart Women enter this match as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability.

Team Form

South Hobart Women's recent form has been inconsistent, with a record of one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches (D, W, D, L, L). Their most recent outing was a 0-0 draw away at Launceston City Women on July 4. Prior to that, they secured a 2-1 home victory against Kingborough Lions Women on June 28.

Launceston United Women have also shown mixed results, recording two wins and three losses in their last five games (W, L, W, L, L). They are coming off a strong 4-1 home win against Taroona Women on July 11, but suffered a heavy 5-0 defeat at Devonport City Strikers Women just a week earlier.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors South Hobart Women, who have won 9 of the 15 previous encounters, with Launceston United Women winning 5 and only 1 draw. The most recent meeting was on May 23, 2026, where Launceston United Women secured a 2-0 home victory. However, South Hobart Women dominated the two prior matches in 2026, winning 6-0 at home on May 3 and 4-1 at home on March 14.

League Table Positions

While exact league table positions are not provided in the current data, the historical dominance of South Hobart Women in this fixture, with 9 wins to 5, suggests they are typically the higher-ranked side. The recent head-to-head results, particularly the two emphatic home wins in March and May 2026, underline their strength when hosting Launceston United Women.

Win Probability: South Hobart Women or Launceston United Women?

After a detailed analysis, we assign the following win probabilities for this match: South Hobart Women have a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Launceston United Women have a 20% chance. This calculation is based on the implied probabilities from the bookmaker odds, adjusted for the strong home head-to-head record (9 wins in 15 games) and the recent 6-0 and 4-1 home victories for South Hobart Women in 2026. Despite Launceston United Women winning the most recent encounter, South Hobart's historical home dominance is the decisive factor.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see South Hobart Women as the favorite. The best available odds for a home win are 1.73, while a draw is priced at 2.90, and an away win for Launceston United Women is at 4.75. Based on the stats, the head-to-head record, and the home advantage, the most likely match outcome is a victory for South Hobart Women.