Clarence Zebras - South East United prediction 31 May 2026

The South East United vs Clarence Zebras prediction for the NPL Tasmania match on May 31, 2026, points towards an away victory. Based on current form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Clarence Zebras have a 55% win probability, with a draw at 30% and a South East United win at just 15%.

Team Form

South East United come into this match with two wins and three losses in their last five outings (L, W, L, W, L). They managed a 1-0 win over South Hobart and a 1-0 victory against Glenorchy Knights, but suffered a heavy 9-0 defeat to Kingborough Lions and a 0-2 loss to Devonport City Strikers. The home side's form is inconsistent and they have leaked 12 goals in that span.

Clarence Zebras are winless in their last five (L, D, D, D, L), yet they have shown resilience on the road. They drew 2-2 at Devonport City Strikers, 2-2 at Glenorchy Knights, and 1-1 at Launceston United, while losing 1-2 at home to Launceston City and 1-3 at home to South Hobart. Those draws against top-six sides highlight their ability to avoid defeat under pressure.

Head-to-Head Record

In three previous meetings, South East United have won once and Clarence Zebras twice. South East United's lone win (3-0) came in the Australia Cup in 2025, but in the NPL Tasmania this season, Clarence Zebras claimed both encounters: a 2-1 away victory on March 8, 2026, and a 2-1 home win on May 31, 2026. The league head-to-head clearly favors the visitors.

League Table Positions

Clarence Zebras sit 5th on the NPL Tasmania table with 18 points from 10 matches (6 wins, 4 losses), while South East United are 8th with just 6 points (2 wins, 8 losses). The goal difference tells a similar story: Zebras have scored 17 and conceded 14, whereas United have netted 13 and shipped 34.

Looking at home/away splits, South East United's home record is poor: 1 win and 3 defeats in 4 games (5 goals for, 12 against). Clarence Zebras' away form is solid: 3 wins and 2 losses in 5 trips (7 scored, 5 conceded). The visitors carry a clear advantage based on these numbers.

Win Probability: South East United or Clarence Zebras?

Analyzing all factors—form, head-to-head, league standings, and home/away records—we assign the following win probabilities for this match:

• South East United win: 15%
• Draw: 30%
• Clarence Zebras win: 55%

Clarence Zebras' superior league position, their strong away performances (draws against top teams), and their two head-to-head wins this season make them the clear favorites. However, their five-match winless streak and South East United's ability to grind out home wins keep the draw probability significant. The 15% chance for a home upset reflects United's poor defensive record and low table standing.

Conclusion: Clarence Zebras have the highest likelihood of taking all three points, but a stalemate is the second most probable outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

No odds are available at the time of writing, but based on the statistics, bookmakers would likely price Clarence Zebras as favorites. Our prediction, built solely on the provided form, H2H, and table data, is an away win for Clarence Zebras. A scoreline of 1-2 or 1-1 could be on the cards, given the visitors' recent tendency to draw and the hosts' defensive frailties.