Sogdiana - Xorazm FK Urganch prediction 16 July 2026
Sogdiana
Xorazm FK UrganchSogdianaXorazm FK Urganch
Mashal MuborakSogdianaFK BuxoroSogdianaSogdianaSurkhon TermezNavbahor NamanganSogdianaSogdianaBunyodkorQizilqum ZarafshonSogdianaDinamo SamarqandSogdianaSogdianaFK Kokand 1912SogdianaPakhtakorAGMK OlmaliqSogdianaSogdianaNasaf QarshiAndijanSogdianaDinamo BatumiSogdianaSogdianaFC Nizhny NovgorodSogdianaXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchNavbahor NamanganFarDu FerganaXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchAndijanQizilqum ZarafshonXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchNeftchiMashal MuborakXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchFK Kokand 1912Lokomotiv Farm TashkentXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchDinamo SamarqandXorazm FK UrganchBunyodkorFK BuxoroXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchAGMK OlmaliqNasaf QarshiXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchZimbru ChisinauSogdianaXorazm FK UrganchXorazm FK UrganchSogdianaSogdianaXorazm FK UrganchSogdianaXorazm FK Urganch| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 27:4 | +23 | 31 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | +10 | 27 |
| 3 |  Navbahor Namangan | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:11 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 |  FK Buxoro | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | +3 | 20 |
| 5 |  AGMK Olmaliq | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:16 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Bunyodkor | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 |  Nasaf Qarshi | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Andijan | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17:13 | +4 | 16 |
| 10 |  Surkhon Termez | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 15 |
| 11 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Xorazm FK Urganch | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 |  Qizilqum Zarafshon | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Sogdiana | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |  FK Kokand 1912 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 11 |
| 16 |  Mashal Muborak | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5:21 | -16 | 3 |
Sogdiana vs Xorazm FK Urganch Prediction (Jul 16, 2026)
Our Sogdiana vs Xorazm FK Urganch prediction for the Super League match on Jul 16, 2026, at 15:00 gives Sogdiana a 55% chance of winning, with a draw at 25% and Xorazm FK Urganch at 20%. Bookmakers also see the home side as the clear favorite, and the head-to-head record strongly supports that view.
Team Form
Sogdiana's last five matches show a mixed run: a 2-1 away cup win against Mashal Muborak, a 2-1 league loss at FK Buxoro, a 5-2 home thrashing of Surkhon Termez, a 1-1 draw at Navbahor Namangan, and a 2-3 home defeat to Bunyodkor. That's two wins, one draw, and two losses, with 11 goals scored and 9 conceded.
Xorazm FK Urganch have struggled recently: a 1-1 cup draw at home to Navbahor Namangan, a 1-0 cup win at FarDu Fergana, a 0-3 home league loss to Andijan, a 0-0 draw at Qizilqum Zarafshon, and a 0-2 home loss to Neftchi. They managed just two goals in those five outings and lost twice without scoring.
Head-to-Head Record
Sogdiana have dominated this fixture, winning all three previous meetings. The most recent, on Nov 09, 2025, ended 2-0 to Sogdiana away. Earlier in 2025, they won 1-0 at home in the league and 4-0 at home in the Cup. Xorazm FK Urganch have yet to score against Sogdiana in official matches.
League Table Positions
In the provided Super League standings, Xorazm FK Urganch sit 10th with 13 points from 11 matches (3 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses; goals 9:13). Sogdiana's position is not listed among the top 12, indicating they are currently outside that group. Despite this, their head-to-head dominance and recent attacking output suggest they can compete strongly at home.
Win Probability: Sogdiana or Xorazm FK Urganch?
Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:
- Sogdiana win: 55%
- Draw: 25%
- Xorazm FK Urganch win: 20%
The bookmaker implied probabilities (after removing the margin) gave Sogdiana around 51%, but their perfect H2H record and Xorazm's poor scoring form push the home side's chances higher. Sogdiana are the more likely winners.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available odds show Sogdiana as favorites with a best price of 1.85 for a home win. The draw is offered at 3.50, and an away win for Xorazm FK Urganch at 4.23. Bookmakers clearly expect a home victory. Our Sogdiana vs Xorazm FK Urganch prediction aligns with that: based on the stats, Sogdiana should win, with the H2H record and Xorazm's goal drought being decisive factors.
Sogdiana vs Xorazm FK Urganch — FAQ
- Who will win Sogdiana vs Xorazm FK Urganch?
- Sogdiana has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Xorazm FK Urganch has a 20% chance. The home side is favored based on a perfect head-to-head record, better recent attacking form, and bookmaker odds.
- What is the win probability for Sogdiana?
- Sogdiana has a 55% win probability. This is derived from the betting odds (implied ~51%), then adjusted upward due to three straight wins against Xorazm FK Urganch and the visitors' struggles in front of goal.
- When is the Sogdiana vs Xorazm FK Urganch match?
- The match is on Jul 16, 2026, at 15:00. It is a Super League fixture in Uzbekistan.
- What are the odds for Sogdiana vs Xorazm FK Urganch?
- One bookmaker lists the odds as: home win 1.85, draw 3.50, away win 4.23. Other bookmakers show similar pricing, with Sogdiana consistently the favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Sogdiana and Xorazm FK Urganch?
- Sogdiana have won all three previous meetings: 2-0 away on Nov 09, 2025, 1-0 at home on Jun 19, 2025, and 4-0 at home in the Cup on May 20, 2025. Xorazm FK Urganch have not scored in any of those matches.