SIF (Sundom IF) - Larsmo Bollklubb prediction 16 July 2026

The SIF (Sundom IF) vs Larsmo Bollklubb prediction for the Kolmonen match on Jul 16, 2026 at 16:00 points to a clear home favorite. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head dominance, and contrasting recent form, SIF (Sundom IF) has a 65% win probability, while Larsmo Bollklubb faces an uphill battle with just a 10% chance.

Team Form

SIF (Sundom IF) come into this match with a solid recent run: two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. They secured back-to-back victories against Sporting Kristina (2-1 away) and KPV Akatemia (3-2 at home), showing attacking threat. Earlier draws against VPV (1-1) and SJK Juniorit (2-2) highlighted some defensive vulnerabilities, and a 0-3 home loss to Lapuan Virkia was a setback. Overall, SIF have scored 8 goals in this period, but also conceded 9, suggesting an open style of play.

Larsmo Bollklubb’s form is far more concerning. Their last five results read L, W, D, L, L, with heavy defeats being a recurring theme. A 5-0 home win over NIK stands as a lone bright spot, but losses to FC Ylivieska (1-4), VIFK (0-5), and Kiisto (0-5) expose serious defensive frailties. They have conceded 15 goals in these five matches, while scoring only 7. This poor defensive record will be a major worry ahead of facing an in-form SIF side.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is completely one-sided. SIF (Sundom IF) have won all three previous meetings against Larsmo Bollklubb, with an aggregate score of 8-2. The most recent clash on Apr 23, 2026 ended in a 4-1 away victory for SIF, underlining their superiority. Larsmo have yet to take a single point from this fixture, and the historical data strongly favors another home win.

Win Probability: SIF (Sundom IF) or Larsmo Bollklubb?

After analyzing all available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: SIF (Sundom IF) 65%, draw 25%, Larsmo Bollklubb 10%. The odds imply a home win probability around 61% after removing the bookmaker margin, but the overwhelming head-to-head record (3-0) and the visitors’ dreadful defensive form push the likelihood of a SIF victory even higher. Home advantage and recent momentum further support this assessment. A draw is a realistic secondary outcome, while an away win would be a major surprise.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have priced SIF (Sundom IF) as strong favorites with odds of 1.50 for a home win. The draw is available at 3.25, and an away win for Larsmo Bollklubb is a long shot at 8.00. These odds reflect the gulf in quality and form between the two sides. Based on the stats, the most likely match outcome is a SIF (Sundom IF) victory. The head-to-head record and recent performances make it hard to see past the home side taking all three points.