The Shirvan vs Khankendi prediction for the Azerbaijan Cup match on May 11, 2026, identifies Khankendi as the clear favorite. With a 60% win probability, the away team is expected to extend its dominance over Shirvan in this fixture.
Shirvan's recent results have been mixed. In their last four outings before this match, they recorded two wins and two losses. A 3-2 home victory over FK Shamkir on May 5 and a 1-0 away success against the same opponent on April 13 contrasted with a 5-1 home defeat to Khankendi on April 7. That inconsistency leaves them vulnerable heading into this clash.
Khankendi, on the other hand, comes into the match in excellent shape. Their last five matches produced four wins and one draw, with a 1-1 home draw against Qaradag Lokbatan on April 28 being the only minor blemish. Victories over Dinamo Baki (2-1 and 3-1) and a 4-0 win over Shirvan just a week earlier highlight their superior momentum.
Khankendi has completely owned this fixture in recent history. They have won all three previous meetings, scoring 14 goals and conceding only 2. The most recent encounter on May 11 saw them run out 4-0 winners at home, while earlier wins of 5-1 (away, April 7) and 5-1 (home, December 2, 2025) underline the gulf between the sides. Shirvan have never beaten Khankendi.
As this is a Cup competition, league table positions are not available. Therefore, we rely on form and head-to-head data to assess the relative strength of the two teams.
Our win probability calculation, based on form, head‑to‑head record, and home advantage, gives Khankendi a 60% chance of winning. The draw is rated at 25%, while Shirvan's chances are just 15%. The absence of odds data forced a purely stat‑based estimate. Khankendi's superior recent form and perfect H2H record heavily outweigh Shirvan's home advantage, making the away side the most likely winner.
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture. Based solely on the available statistics, our Shirvan vs Khankendi prediction is a win for Khankendi. Their formidable run and historical dominance leave little room for an upset, although Shirvan's home crowd could help them avoid a heavy defeat.