Sheriff II - Stauceni prediction 1 February 2026

The Friendly Clubs match between Sheriff II and Stauceni on Feb 01, 2026, at 11:00 UTC ended in a 1-1 draw. Our Sheriff II vs Stauceni prediction before the match gave Sheriff II a 55% win probability, with the draw at 25% and Stauceni at 20%. Here’s the detailed analysis that led to those probabilities.

Team Form

Sheriff II

Sheriff II have been consistent, going unbeaten in their last five outings with two wins and three draws. Their recent results:

• Feb 18, 2026: Sheriff II 1-1 FC Politehnica Chisinau (D)
• Feb 08, 2026: Sheriff II 3-1 Zimbru Chisinau 2 (W)
• Feb 01, 2026: Stauceni 1-1 Sheriff II (D)
• Oct 31, 2025: Sheriff II 4-1 Flacara Falesti (W)
• Oct 24, 2025: Olimp Comrat 1-1 Sheriff II (D)

In these five matches, Sheriff II scored 10 goals and conceded only 5, showing both offensive threat and defensive stability. At home, they have won two and drawn one of their last three, scoring 8 goals in those matches.

Stauceni

Stauceni come into this match with poor form, having lost three of their last five and drawn two. Their recent matches:

• May 16, 2026: Iskra Stal Ribnita 3-1 Stauceni (L)
• May 09, 2026: FC Real Sireti 4-3 Stauceni (L)
• May 05, 2026: Stauceni 0-0 Floresti (D)
• May 01, 2026: Sparta Selemet 5-2 Stauceni (L)
• Apr 25, 2026: Stauceni 0-0 Iskra Stal Ribnita (D)

Stauceni managed just 6 goals while conceding 12 in this period, highlighting their struggles at both ends of the pitch. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, which will be a major concern against a Sheriff II side that has found the net regularly.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting between these teams was on Feb 01, 2026, in a Friendly Clubs match that ended Stauceni 1-1 Sheriff II. The draw suggests that Stauceni can compete, but Sheriff II will be confident of improving on that result with home support.

Win Probability: Sheriff II or Stauceni?

We have calculated the win probabilities based on form, head-to-head, and the home/away factor:

• Sheriff II win: 55%
• Draw: 25%
• Stauceni win: 20%

Sheriff II’s unbeaten streak and home advantage give them a clear edge. The 55% win probability reflects their superior form and attacking output. The draw probability of 25% is influenced by the 1-1 draw in the only head-to-head match. Stauceni’s 20% chance accounts for their poor defensive record and recent results, though friendly matches can sometimes produce surprises.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds were available for this Friendly Clubs fixture. Our prediction leans towards a Sheriff II victory, but the 1-1 draw in the previous encounter indicates that a tight match is expected. For betting tips, a Sheriff II win with a draw no bet option would be a sensible choice if odds appear. Based on the stats, Sheriff II is the more likely winner, but caution is advised given the head-to-head deadlock.