LNZ Cherkasy - Shakhtar Donetsk prediction 13 April 2026

The Shakhtar Donetsk vs LNZ Cherkasy prediction is for the Premier League match on Apr 13 at 10:00 at Cherkasy Arena. Based on our analysis, Shakhtar Donetsk has a 45% chance to win, a draw is at 25%, and LNZ Cherkasy has a 30% chance.

Team Form

Shakhtar Donetsk's recent form has been mixed, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. They lost 0-1 at home to Kolos Kovalivka, beat Kryvbas Kriviy Rih 3-2 away, defeated FC Obolon Kyiv 3-1 at home, crushed Poltava FC 4-0 away, and fell 1-2 to Crystal Palace in the UEFA Conference League. The wins were dominant, but the losses highlight some inconsistency.

LNZ Cherkasy come into this match in excellent form, winning four of their last five – all in friendly matches. They beat Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0, MTK Budapest 4-0, Koper 2-1, and Sturm Graz 6-2, before a narrow 0-1 loss to Hajduk Split. While friendlies carry less weight, the scoring form and defensive record (10 goals scored, 2 conceded in the four wins) are impressive.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record is evenly balanced. In the last five meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk have won twice, LNZ Cherkasy twice, and one match ended in a draw. The most recent clash, on Apr 13, 2026, finished 2-2. Earlier results include a 1-4 away win for Shakhtar in April 2025 and a 3-0 home win for Shakhtar in October 2023. LNZ Cherkasy claimed a 1-0 friendly win in February 2026 and a 4-1 away victory in October 2025. This suggests neither side has a clear psychological edge.

League Table Positions

Shakhtar Donetsk topped the Premier League table with 72 points from 30 games (22 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses), scoring 71 goals and conceding only 21. LNZ Cherkasy finished second with 60 points (18 wins, 6 draws, 6 losses), scoring 39 and conceding 17. At home, Shakhtar have been dominant (12 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), while LNZ Cherkasy boast a strong away record (10 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). The 12-point gap and superior goal difference underline Shakhtar's overall superiority.

Win Probability: Shakhtar Donetsk or LNZ Cherkasy?

Shakhtar Donetsk has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and LNZ Cherkasy has a 30% chance. We base this on the league standings – Shakhtar finished 12 points clear – and their strong home form. However, LNZ Cherkasy's excellent away record (second best in the league) and recent friendly scoring spree add real danger. The even head-to-head also tempers the favorite's lead. Overall, Shakhtar is the more likely winner, but LNZ Cherkasy can certainly take a point.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds are not available for this match, but based on the stats, Shakhtar Donetsk are the favorites. Their league dominance, home advantage, and attacking quality make them the most probable winner. However, LNZ Cherkasy's form and solid away defense suggest a tight contest. Our match prediction is a Shakhtar win, but a draw is a realistic outcome. For betting tips, the under 2.5 goals market could be worth considering given LNZ Cherkasy's defensive record (17 conceded in 30 league games).