SG Aumund Vegesack - Habenhauser FV prediction 28 March 2026
SG Aumund Vegesack
Habenhauser FVSG Aumund Vegesack
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The SG Aumund Vegesack vs Habenhauser FV prediction points to a home win in this Oberliga fixture on 28 March 2026, kicking off at 13:00. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, SG Aumund Vegesack enters as the clear favourite with a 55% win probability.
Team Form
SG Aumund Vegesack have recorded three wins in their last five matches (W, W, L, W when reading recent results from left to right as L-W-W-L-W), showing a solid 60% win rate in that run. Their most recent outings include a 1-0 victory at TV Eiche Horn and a 3-1 home win against Vatan Sport. The team scores regularly at home, having netted three or more goals in two of their last three home fixtures.
Habenhauser FV arrive with poor away form, claiming just one win in their last five matches overall (L-L-W-L-L). Defeats at TV Eiche Horn (4-1) and Blumenthaler SV (5-0) highlight defensive vulnerabilities. The 3-1 home win over Woltmershausen remains the only bright spot in an otherwise poor stretch.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these two sides is evenly balanced. In four previous meetings, SG Aumund Vegesack have won twice, Habenhauser FV once, with one draw. The most recent encounter ended 4-0 in favour of SG Aumund Vegesack at this venue. Looking further back, SG Aumund Vegesack also won 6-2 at home in April 2022, while Habenhauser FV claimed a 2-1 home win in August 2021.
Win Probability: SG Aumund Vegesack or Habenhauser FV?
After assessing all available data, we calculate the following outcome probabilities: SG Aumund Vegesack win โ 55%, draw โ 25%, Habenhauser FV win โ 20%. The calculation weights recent form heavily (60% home win rate vs. 20% away win rate) and adjusts for home advantage, where the hosts have won two of three previous meetings at this stadium. The head-to-head is otherwise close, which keeps the draw and away win chances from dropping too low.
Odds & Match Prediction
No specific bookmaker odds are available for this fixture in the supplied data, but the statistical model clearly sides with the home team. The prediction is a home win for SG Aumund Vegesack, likely by a margin of two or more goals, though the draw cannot be completely ruled out given the historical balance. Bettors should look for markets such as home win or over 2.5 total goals, as the hostsโ recent matches have seen plenty of scoring.
SG Aumund Vegesack vs Habenhauser FV โ FAQ
- Who will win SG Aumund Vegesack vs Habenhauser FV?
- SG Aumund Vegesack are the more likely winners with a 55% probability. Habenhauser FV have a 20% chance, while the draw sits at 25%. The prediction is based on home form, head-to-head record, and home advantage.
- What is the win probability for SG Aumund Vegesack?
- SG Aumund Vegesack have a 55% chance to win. This figure reflects their strong recent home results (three wins in five) and a 60% win rate over the last five matches, plus their dominant head-to-head record at home.
- When is the SG Aumund Vegesack vs Habenhauser FV match?
- The match takes place on 28 March 2026 at 13:00. It is an Oberliga fixture in Germany.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Specific match odds are not available in the provided data. Based on the analysis, a home win for SG Aumund Vegesack would be the expected favourite outcome.