Serra Macaense FC RJ - 7 De Abril RJ prediction 28 September 2025

Our Serra Macaense FC RJ vs 7 De Abril RJ prediction covers the Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 match on September 28, 2025, at 17:45. Based on current form and head-to-head records, Serra Macaense FC RJ has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and 7 De Abril RJ holds a 20% probability. The home side’s better recent results make them the expected favorite in a fixture that has historically finished level.

Team Form

Serra Macaense FC RJ

Serra Macaense’s last five matches show three wins, one draw, and one loss (W-W-W-D-L in chronological order). Their most recent outing was a 2-0 defeat away to SE Belford Roxo RJ on November 9, but prior to that they recorded victories over Macae (2-1), Rio de Janeiro RJ (2-0), and Goytacaz FC RJ (1-0), plus a 0-0 draw at Santa Cruz FC RJ on October 19. This solid run includes two home wins, indicating strength in familiar surroundings.

7 De Abril RJ

7 De Abril RJ have struggled, posting one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five (L-W-L-L-D). They lost 2-0 away to Macae on November 9, won 6-2 at home against Rio de Janeiro RJ on November 6, then fell 2-1 at Goytacaz FC RJ and 1-0 at home to Santa Cruz FC RJ, with a 1-1 draw at SE Paraty RJ on October 20. Away from home, they have been particularly vulnerable, losing three of those five games.

Head-to-Head Record

These two teams have only met once before in this competition. On October 25, 2024, the match ended 0-0. With no wins for either side in their only encounter, the head-to-head points to another tight, low-scoring affair.

League Table Positions

At the time of the match, the overall standings showed Serra Macaense FC RJ in 6th place with 0 points from 0 games. 7 De Abril RJ sat 8th with 0 points from 1 played (a 3-0 loss at home). The home table had 7 De Abril already with a defeat on home soil, while Serra Macaense had yet to play at home. The away table was empty for both sides. The minimal data suggests a slight advantage for the hosts, who were yet to concede any league goals, while the visitors had already suffered a heavy loss.

Win Probability: Serra Macaense FC RJ or 7 De Abril RJ?

Our win probability analysis delivers the following percentages:

• Serra Macaense FC RJ win: 45%
• Draw: 35%
• 7 De Abril RJ win: 20%

The home side’s stronger recent form (three wins in five vs. one win in five), combined with home advantage and the visitors’ poor away record, makes Serra Macaense the clear favorite. However, the previous head-to-head draw of 0-0 and the inconsistent nature of both sides raise the draw probability significantly. While a 7 De Abril victory cannot be dismissed entirely, they would require a marked improvement away from home.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 fixture were not available at the time of writing, so our forecast is based solely on statistical data. The most likely outcome is a narrow win for Serra Macaense FC RJ. A 1-0 or 2-1 home scoreline fits the hosts’ recent scoring pattern, while a 1-1 draw would mirror the only previous H2H result. Given the form and history, backing the home side to win appears the safest choice, but punters should consider the draw as a viable hedge.