PSBS Biak Numfor - Semen Padang prediction 9 March 2026
PSBS Biak Numfor
Semen Padang
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Persib Bandung | 33 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 59:22 | +37 | 78 |
| 2 |  Borneo Samarinda | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 67:30 | +37 | 76 |
| 3 |  Persija Jakarta | 33 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 62:29 | +33 | 68 |
| 4 |  Persebaya Surabaya | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 56:35 | +21 | 55 |
| 5 |  Malut United | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 67:46 | +21 | 53 |
| 6 |  Dewa United Banten FC | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44:37 | +7 | 53 |
| 7 |  Bali United Persisam | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:48 | +9 | 51 |
| 8 |  Bhayangkara Surabaya United | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 46:45 | +1 | 50 |
| 9 |  Arema Indonesia | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:47 | +6 | 48 |
| 10 |  Persita Tangerang | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 37:34 | +3 | 45 |
| 11 |  PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:44 | -1 | 45 |
| 12 |  Persik Kediri | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 42:56 | -14 | 39 |
| 13 |  Persijap Jepara | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 14 |  PSM Makassar | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 39:47 | -8 | 34 |
| 15 |  Madura United | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 35:54 | -19 | 32 |
| 16 |  Persis Solo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 22:62 | -40 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31:88 | -57 | 18 |
Semen Padang vs PSBS Biak Numfor Prediction (Mar 09)
The Semen Padang vs PSBS Biak Numfor prediction for this Liga 1 match on March 9, 2026 points to a narrow edge for the visitors. PSBS Biak Numfor has a 45% win probability, while Semen Padang have a 30% chance and the draw sits at 25%.
Team Form
Semen Padang are in terrible shape with four straight defeats and a draw in their last five matches. Their recent run includes a 7-0 home loss to Persebaya Surabaya and a 3-0 home defeat to Persik Kediri. The only point came away at Persenga Nganjuk in Liga 4.
PSBS Biak Numfor have lost every one of their last five outings, conceding 28 goals in that spell. Heavy defeats include a 7-0 loss at Bhayangkara Surabaya United, a 5-0 reverse at Dewa United Banten FC, and a 7-0 home humiliation against Malut United.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall head-to-head favours PSBS Biak Numfor, who have won 4 of the 6 meetings with Semen Padang managing just 1 win and 1 draw. Goals are nearly guaranteed: the last five H2H matches have produced 28 goals. The most recent clash saw Semen Padang surprise with a 2-0 away victory, which could give them some hope.
League Table Positions
Neither side appears in the top 12 of the Liga 1 standings, meaning both sit in the lower half of the table. The lack of a specific rank prevents a detailed comparison, but the absence from the top groups underlines their poor campaigns.
Win Probability: Semen Padang or PSBS Biak Numfor?
After analysing all available data, we assign a 30% chance to a home win, a 25% probability of a draw, and a 45% likelihood of an away victory for PSBS Biak Numfor. The visitors' clear historical dominance (4 wins to 1 in H2H) gives them the edge, even though both teams are woefully out of form. Home advantage hardly helps Semen Padang, who have suffered multiple heavy home defeats this season.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds are available in the data, but based purely on stats, PSBS Biak Numfor are the more probable winners. The predicted outcome is an away win, though Semen Padang's recent H2H victory adds a layer of uncertainty. A draw is also a realistic result given both teams' fragile confidence.
Semen Padang vs PSBS Biak Numfor — FAQ
- Who will win Semen Padang vs PSBS Biak Numfor?
- PSBS Biak Numfor are the slight favourites with a 45% win probability. Semen Padang have a 30% chance and the draw is rated at 25% based on head-to-head record and recent form.
- What is the win probability for PSBS Biak Numfor?
- PSBS Biak Numfor have a 45% chance to win. This stems from their 4 wins in 6 head-to-head meetings against Semen Padang, outweighing both teams' dreadful current form.
- When is the Semen Padang vs PSBS Biak Numfor match?
- The Liga 1 match is scheduled for March 9, 2026, with a 13:30 kick-off time. The fixture takes place in Indonesia.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds are not provided in the available data. The win probabilities have been estimated purely from team form, head-to-head stats, and league table context.