Saumur - AS Montlouis prediction 9 May 2026
Saumur
AS Montlouis
Aviron BayonnaisSaumurSaumurAS MontlouisDinan LehonSaumurSaumurLorient IISaint-Colomban LocmineSaumurSaumurChaurayLa Roche Vendee FootballSaumurSaumurStade PoitevinSoyaux AngoulemeSaumurSaumurSaint MaloUS GranvillaiseSaumurChateaubriantSaumurSaumurBordeauxAvranchesSaumurSaumurDinan LehonAS MontlouisSaint MaloSaumurAS MontlouisAS MontlouisChateaubriantBordeauxAS MontlouisAS MontlouisAvranchesLes HerbiersAS MontlouisAS MontlouisAviron BayonnaisAS MontlouisUS GranvillaiseDinan LehonAS MontlouisAS MontlouisLorient IISaint-Colomban LocmineAS MontlouisAS MontlouisChaurayLa Roche Vendee FootballAS MontlouisAS MontlouisStade PoitevinSoyaux AngoulemeAS MontlouisSaumurAS MontlouisAS MontlouisSaumur| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche Vendee Football | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 59:27 | +32 | 62 |
| 2 |  Bordeaux | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 48:25 | +23 | 61 |
| 3 |  Aviron Bayonnais | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 39:25 | +14 | 52 |
| 4 |  Saint Malo | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 41:27 | +14 | 49 |
| 5 |  Les Herbiers | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 42:33 | +9 | 46 |
| 6 |  Soyaux Angouleme | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 43 |
| 7 |  Avranches | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:38 | +5 | 39 |
| 8 |  Dinan Lehon | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 41:44 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 |  Chauray | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 |  Saint-Colomban Locmine | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 |  Lorient II | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 37:50 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 |  Chateaubriant | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 13 | AS Montlouis | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 40:48 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Saumur | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 35:53 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 |  US Granvillaise | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 |  Stade Poitevin | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 25 |
Saumur vs AS Montlouis Prediction (May 09)
Saumur vs AS Montlouis prediction: The National 2 clash on May 09, 2026, at 16:00 is expected to be a tight affair. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, a draw is the most probable outcome with a 50% chance, while both teams have a 25% win probability.
Team Form
Saumur come into this match without a win in their last five outings (0W, 3D, 2L). They suffered a 3-2 defeat at Aviron Bayonnais, a 6-0 thrashing at Dinan Lehon, and drew 0-0 with AS Montlouis, 2-2 against Lorient II, and 0-0 at Saint-Colomban Locmine.
AS Montlouis are also winless in their last five (0W, 3D, 2L). Their recent results include a 2-2 home draw with Saint Malo, a 0-0 stalemate at Saumur, a 1-1 draw with Chateaubriant, a 4-1 loss at Bordeaux, and a 2-1 home defeat to Avranches.
Head-to-Head Record
These sides have met twice in National 2 this season, and both encounters ended in draws. The most recent was a 0-0 at this venue on May 09, 2026, and the earlier fixture on January 17, 2026, finished 1-1 at AS Montlouis. The head-to-head record stands at 0 wins for Saumur, 2 draws, and 0 wins for AS Montlouis.
League Table Positions
Neither Saumur nor AS Montlouis feature in the top 12 of the National 2 standings, indicating both are positioned in the lower half of the table. The league is led by La Roche Vendee Football with 62 points, followed by Bordeaux (61) and Aviron Bayonnais (52). The absence of these teams from the upper echelons underlines their struggles this season.
Win Probability: Saumur or AS Montlouis?
After analyzing all available data, we assign the following outcome probabilities:
- Saumur win: 25%
- Draw: 50%
- AS Montlouis win: 25%
This assessment is based on the teams' identical poor form (no wins in five), the head-to-head record of two draws, and the lack of a significant home advantage for Saumur, who have failed to win any of their recent home matches. The draw is the clear most likely result.
Odds & Match Prediction
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture. However, based on the statistical analysis, the match is expected to be a low-scoring draw. Our Saumur vs AS Montlouis prediction is a stalemate, with a 0-0 or 1-1 scoreline the most probable outcomes.
Saumur vs AS Montlouis — FAQ
- Who will win Saumur vs AS Montlouis?
- Based on our analysis, a draw is the most likely result with a 50% probability. Saumur and AS Montlouis each have a 25% chance of winning. The match is expected to be closely contested.
- What is the win probability for Saumur?
- Saumur have a 25% chance to win this match. Their recent form (0 wins in last 5) and the head-to-head record (two draws) suggest they will struggle to secure all three points.
- When is the Saumur vs AS Montlouis match?
- The match is scheduled for May 09, 2026, at 16:00 local time. It is a National 2 fixture in France.
- What are the odds for the match?
- There are no odds currently available for this match. Our prediction is based purely on team form, head-to-head stats, and league positions.
- What is the head-to-head record between Saumur and AS Montlouis?
- The two teams have met twice this season, both ending in draws (0-0 and 1-1). Neither side has managed a victory in this fixture.