Sarnese - Hyria Nola prediction 28 March 2026

Sarnese vs Hyria Nola prediction for the Serie D match on March 28, 2026, at 15:00. Based on recent form and head-to-head record, Sarnese enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability. The draw stands at 30%, while Hyria Nola has a 25% chance to win.

Team Form

Sarnese's last five matches show a mixed run: one win, three draws, and one loss (W, D, D, L, D). At home, they drew 2-2 with Francavilla, lost 1-2 to Fidelis Andria, and drew 0-0 with ASD Nardo Calcio. Their most recent home result was a 2-1 victory over FC Pompei.

Hyria Nola's away form in the same period reads one win, two draws, and two losses (D, W, L, D, L). On the road, they suffered a heavy 0-5 defeat at Paganese, lost 0-1 at Manfredonia, and drew 0-0 at ASD Heraclea. Their only away win came against Martina Franca (2-1).

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met twice before. Sarnese remains unbeaten with one win and one draw. The most recent encounter ended 1-0 to Sarnese, while the earlier meeting finished 3-3. Overall, Sarnese has scored 4 goals and conceded 3 in this fixture.

League Table Positions

Neither Sarnese nor Hyria Nola appear in the available Serie D standings. Therefore, a direct table comparison cannot be made from the provided data.

Win Probability: Sarnese or Hyria Nola?

Sarnese has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Hyria Nola has a 25% chance. This calculation is based on recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage. Sarnese's home form (1W-3D-1L) is slightly better than Hyria Nola's away form (1W-2D-2L), and the head-to-head favors the hosts. Without bookmaker odds, the probabilities are estimated from these stats.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available in the data for this match. Based on the stats, Sarnese is the more likely winner. The prediction is a home win, but the draw is a realistic outcome given both teams' tendency to share points. Hyria Nola will need to improve their away performances to cause an upset.