AV Alta FC - Sarasota Paradise prediction 11 June 2026
AV Alta FC
Sarasota Paradise
One KnoxvilleAV Alta FCChattanooga Red WolvesAV Alta FCAV Alta FCPhoenix RisingAV Alta FCCharlotte IndependenceUnion OmahaAV Alta FCCorpus ChristiAV Alta FCGreenville TriumphAV Alta FCAV Alta FCSpokane VelocityAV Alta FCSarasota ParadiseAV Alta FCOrange County Blue StarFort WayneAV Alta FCEl Paso LocomotiveAV Alta FCAV Alta FCNew York CosmosSarasota ParadiseAV Alta FCAV Alta FCForward Madison FCSarasota ParadiseMiami FCGreenville TriumphSarasota ParadiseRichmond KickersSarasota ParadiseCorpus ChristiSarasota ParadiseSarasota ParadiseUnion OmahaAV Alta FCSarasota ParadiseFC NaplesSarasota ParadiseSarasota ParadiseNew York CosmosAC BoiseSarasota ParadiseSpokane VelocitySarasota ParadiseFlorida PremierSarasota ParadiseSarasota ParadiseAV Alta FCSarasota ParadiseSporting JaxChattanooga Red WolvesSarasota ParadiseSarasota ParadiseForward Madison FCAV Alta FCSarasota ParadiseSarasota ParadiseAV Alta FC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  One Knoxville | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 30:16 | +14 | 33 |
| 2 |  Union Omaha | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 27:20 | +7 | 32 |
| 3 |  Charlotte Independence | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:22 | +14 | 30 |
| 4 |  Alta | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | +5 | 28 |
| 5 |  AC Boise | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25:24 | +1 | 27 |
| 6 |  Fort Wayne | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | +10 | 27 |
| 7 |  Forward Madison FC | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | +12 | 26 |
| 8 |  Spokane Velocity | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 26 |
| 9 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 |
| 10 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 |  Corpus Christi | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17:28 | -11 | 18 |
| 13 |  FC Naples | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
| 14 |  Westchester SC | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 15 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14:24 | -10 | 14 |
| 16 |  Richmond Kickers | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:30 | -18 | 12 |
| 17 |  New York Cosmos | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 11 |
Sarasota Paradise vs AV Alta FC Prediction (Jun 11, 2026)
The Sarasota Paradise vs AV Alta FC prediction for June 11, 2026, in USL League One points to an away win. Based on recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, AV Alta FC has a 55% chance of winning, while Sarasota Paradise has just a 20% chance, with the draw at 25%.
Team Form
Sarasota Paradise's last five matches (most recent first):
- Jul 11: Sarasota Paradise 0-5 Miami FC (USL Cup) – L
- Jul 08: Greenville Triumph 0-0 Sarasota Paradise – D
- Jul 04: Richmond Kickers 0-0 Sarasota Paradise – D
- Jun 21: Corpus Christi 4-1 Sarasota Paradise – L
- Jun 13: Sarasota Paradise 2-0 Union Omaha – W
That run includes only one win, two draws, and two defeats. They have scored just 2 goals in those five games while conceding 9.
AV Alta FC's last five matches:
- Jul 12: AV Alta FC 2-1 Phoenix Rising (USL Cup) – W
- Jul 06: AV Alta FC 1-1 Charlotte Independence – D
- Jul 02: Union Omaha 3-1 AV Alta FC – L
- Jun 25: Corpus Christi 0-0 AV Alta FC – D
- Jun 20: Greenville Triumph 1-2 AV Alta FC – W
With two wins, two draws, and one loss, AV Alta FC has collected 8 points from a possible 15, showing much better consistency.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met twice in USL League One, and AV Alta FC has won both encounters:
- Jun 11, 2026: AV Alta FC 3-1 Sarasota Paradise
- May 16, 2026: Sarasota Paradise 1-2 AV Alta FC
AV Alta FC has scored 5 goals and conceded 2 across the two matches, demonstrating clear dominance.
League Table Positions
In the overall USL League One standings, AV Alta FC (Alta) is 4th with 25 points (6W, 7D, 3L), while Sarasota Paradise is 11th with 18 points (5W, 3D, 10L). AV Alta FC has a goal difference of +5 (23 scored, 18 conceded), compared to Sarasota Paradise's -11 (17 scored, 28 conceded). In the away standings, AV Alta FC ranks 6th with 8 points from 6 games. Sarasota Paradise does not appear in the top 8 home or away tables, indicating a weak home record. The gap in quality is evident, with AV Alta firmly in the playoff positions and Sarasota near the bottom.
Win Probability: Sarasota Paradise or AV Alta FC?
We calculate the win probabilities as follows: AV Alta FC win – 55%, draw – 25%, Sarasota Paradise win – 20%. This assessment is based on AV Alta FC's superior form (8 points from last 5 games vs 5 points), a perfect head-to-head record (2 wins), and a much higher league position (4th vs 11th). Even playing away, AV Alta FC has already won at Sarasota Paradise this season. Home advantage for Sarasota Paradise is not enough to offset these factors.
Odds & Match Prediction
No specific odds are available for this match, but bookmakers would likely price AV Alta FC as favorites. Based on the stats, our prediction is an away win for AV Alta FC. The most likely outcome is a victory for the visitors, with a draw also a reasonable possibility given Sarasota Paradise's two recent draws.
Sarasota Paradise vs AV Alta FC — FAQ
- Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs AV Alta FC?
- Based on our analysis, AV Alta FC has a 55% chance to win, while Sarasota Paradise has a 20% chance, and the draw is at 25%. AV Alta FC is the clear favorite due to better form, head-to-head record, and league position.
- What is the win probability for AV Alta FC?
- AV Alta FC has a 55% win probability. This is calculated from their strong recent form (W,D,L,D,W), a perfect head-to-head record (2 wins), and a 4th-place standing compared to Sarasota Paradise's 11th.
- When is the Sarasota Paradise vs AV Alta FC match?
- The match is on June 11, 2026, at 03:00 UTC. It is a USL League One fixture.
- What are the odds for the match?
- No specific odds are available in the data provided. However, based on the stats, AV Alta FC would be expected to be the bookmakers' favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Sarasota Paradise and AV Alta FC?
- AV Alta FC has won both previous meetings: 2-1 away on May 16, 2026, and 3-1 at home on June 11, 2026.