Sao Jose SP - Agua Santa SP prediction 14 February 2026
Sao Jose SP
Agua Santa SPSao Jose SP
Sertaozinho SPJuventus SPSao Jose SPFerroviaria SPSao Jose SPSao Jose SPFerroviaria SPSao Jose SPJuventus SPSertaozinho SPSao Jose SPYpiranga APSao Jose SPSao Jose SPSertaozinho SPVotuporanguense SPSao Jose SPSao Jose SPCristal APSao Jose SPItuano SPSanto Andre SPSao Jose SPSao Jose SPTrem Desportivo APSao Jose SPFerroviaria SPMacapa APSao Jose SPAgua Santa SPVelo Clube SPVelo Clube SPAgua Santa SPAmerica RJAgua Santa SPAgua Santa SPMadureira RJAgua Santa SPPouso Alegre MGPortuguesa SPAgua Santa SPPortuguesa RJAgua Santa SPAgua Santa SPPortuguesa RJAgua Santa SPPortuguesa SPPouso Alegre MGAgua Santa SPAgua Santa SPXV de Piracicaba SPMadureira RJAgua Santa SPVotuporanguense SPAgua Santa SPAgua Santa SPAmerica RJAgua Santa SPItuano SPSao Jose SPAgua Santa SP| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Agua Santa SP | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24:14 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 |  Ferroviaria SP | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:12 | +10 | 28 |
| 3 |  Ituano SP | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:14 | +8 | 28 |
| 4 | Sao Jose SP | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:13 | +8 | 27 |
| 5 |  Sertaozinho SP | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 25 |
| 6 |  Votuporanguense SP | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 23 |
| 8 |  XV de Piracicaba SP | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:15 | +1 | 22 |
| 9 |  Osasco Sporting SP | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 22:18 | +4 | 22 |
| 10 |  Santo Andre SP | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 18 |
| 11 |  Taubate SP | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 22:23 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 |  Inter de Limeira SP | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15:18 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Linense | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 |  Monte Azul SP | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |  Gremio Prudente SP | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 |  Sao Bento SP | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 8:25 | -17 | 5 |
Sao Jose SP vs Agua Santa SP Prediction (Feb 14, 2026)
Our Sao Jose SP vs Agua Santa SP prediction for February 14, 2026, in the Campeonato Paulista. Serie A2 points to a home win. Sao Jose SP enters the match as the favorite with a calculated 58% win probability, backed by a superior head-to-head record and a stronger away performance profile.
Team Form
Sao Jose SP's recent form shows two wins and three losses in their last five matches (W, L, L, L, W). Their latest outing was a commanding 5-0 home victory against Sertaozinho SP on April 15. Prior to that, they suffered a 0-1 away defeat to Juventus SP and a 1-4 loss at Ferroviaria SP.
Agua Santa SP's last five results read two draws, one loss, and two wins (D, D, L, W, W). They are coming off a 1-1 home draw against Velo Clube SP in the Serie D, following a 0-0 away draw with the same opponent. Their form has been inconsistent, with the defeat to America RJ breaking a short winning streak.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these teams consists of just one previous meeting. That match took place on February 14, 2026, where Sao Jose SP secured a 1-0 home win against Agua Santa SP in this same competition. Sao Jose SP has dominated the H2H with 1 win, while there have been 0 draws and 0 wins for Agua Santa SP.
League Table Positions
In the overall Campeonato Paulista. Serie A2 standings, Agua Santa SP sits at the top with 31 points from 15 matches. Sao Jose SP is placed 4th with 27 points from the same number of games. Despite the table gap, the home/away splits tell a different story: Sao Jose SP ranks 1st in the away standings with 15 points from 7 games, while Agua Santa SP leads the overall league. This suggests both teams have clear quality, but Sao Jose SP's defensive solidity on the road is a key factor.
Win Probability: Sao Jose SP or Agua Santa SP?
Based on the available data, we have calculated the match outcome probabilities. Sao Jose SP has a 58% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Agua Santa SP has a 17% chance. This calculation is rooted in the only available H2H match—a home win for Sao Jose SP—combined with their superior head-to-head record. While overall league positions favor the visitors, Sao Jose SP's perfect H2H record and the fact they are playing at home heavily influence the model. Agua Santa SP's mixed recent form also contributes to their underdog status for this fixture.
Odds & Match Prediction
Odds data for the 1X2 market was not available in the provided statistics. However, based on the form, head-to-head record, and league standings, bookmakers would likely see Sao Jose SP as the favorite. The only previous meeting ended in a 1-0 victory for the home side, and with Sao Jose SP showing strong performances at home (like the 5-0 win), the prediction leans towards a low-scoring home win. Agua Santa SP's recent struggles to score consistently on the road further support this Sao Jose SP vs Agua Santa SP prediction.
Sao Jose SP vs Agua Santa SP — FAQ
- Who will win Sao Jose SP vs Agua Santa SP?
- Sao Jose SP is the more likely winner with a 58% probability. The draw has a 25% chance, while Agua Santa SP trails at 17%.
- What is the win probability for Sao Jose SP?
- Sao Jose SP has a 58% chance to win. This is based on their head-to-head victory in the only previous meeting and their home advantage.
- When is the Sao Jose SP vs Agua Santa SP match?
- The match takes place on February 14, 2026, at 22:00 UTC. It is part of the Campeonato Paulista. Serie A2 competition.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Specific pre-match odds for the 1X2 market were not available in the data source. Predictions are based solely on team form, head-to-head results, and league positions.